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Scrappy Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 20 18 38
2 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 18 25 43
3 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 12 33 45
4 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 35 13 48
5 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 23 33 56
6 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 41 40 81
7 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 48 34 82
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 1 3 1 4 1 1 1 12 Lj Nykamp '25 [1-7]
Matthew Tevelde '26 [1-4]
Jonas Pearson '25 [5-7]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 3 1 3 5 2 2 2 18 Ethen Stone '21
Parker Kumler '23
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 2 2 4 1 4 3 4 20 Greta Traver '23
Lily Johnson '23
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 4 4 2 3 3 4 3 23 Grant Corrion '22 [1-7]
Chas Mathis Baliatico '22 [1]
Boaz Selinger '22 [2-7]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 5 6 6 2 5 6 5 35 Edwin Becker '21
Christopher Mikesell '24
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 6 7 5 6 6 5 6 41 Renata Altuzar '22
Xinyi (Cindy) Chen '22
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 7 5 7 7 7 DNS 7 48 Jack Hubbard '25
Caleb Keenan '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 1 4 1 1 4 1 1 13 Carolina Jimenez '21
Addison Pohl '23
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 3 1 3 2 2 2 5 18 Amelia Traver '24 [1-7]
Lauren Siegers '21 [1-4]
Aiden Hollebeek '21 [5-7]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 6 2 2 4 1 4 6 25 Kevin Zhu '22
Isabelle Kanach '21
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 2 5 4 7 6 7 2 33 Ella Sligh '24
Kiarra Bracelly '25
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 4 6 7 6 3 3 4 33 Will Turner '24 [1]
Brody Yeloushan '24 [2-7]
Dominic Palazzolo '23 [1]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 5 3 6 5 7 5 3 34 Ben Dornbush '22
Trevor Dill '22
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 7 7 5 3 5 6 7 40 Xinshi (Jerry) Feng '23
Mayka Mariscal '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles23232323232323
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon21212121212121
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white19191919191919
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils1111111
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon3333333
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed7777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles22222222222222
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon20202020202020
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white24242424242424
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils2222222
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon4444444
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed8888888

Conditions — 05/08/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1020.4 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From NNW (342°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1020.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Culver Academies: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Culver Academies by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Culver Academies).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →