Seattle Scrimmage

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 1 52
2 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1 82
3 Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 84
4 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2 114
5 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 3 186
6 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 2 193
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 1 B 4 1 5 3 3 1 2 2 1 22 Catie Vandervort '22
Meimei Peterson '22
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 1 A 1 2 8 1 4 9 1 1 3 30 Erik Anderson '21
Johnny Vaughey '22
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals B 2 5 2 6 6 2 3 3 4 33 Colin Olson '22
Ray Mcdavid '22
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1 A 5 3 1 2 5 5 7 4 5 37 Abbie Chipps '21
Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1 B 6 8 4 4 2 7 5 7 2 45 Danny Juan '23
Kirin Dhaka '23
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals A 7 7 6 5 7 4 4 5 6 51 Alden Mcgonagle '21
Kit Zivin '21
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2 A 3 4 3 7 9 8 6 6 7 53 Oliver Nairn '23
Matthew Lindburg '21
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2 B 9 6 7 10 1 3 8 9 8 61 Owen Thomas '23
Levi Bailey '24
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 3 B 8 10 9 9 10 10 9 8 10 83
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 2 B 10 9 DNS 8 8 6 10 10 9 83 Caroline Lochner '22
Holly Peterson '23
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 3 A 12 12 11 11 11 DNS 11 11 11 103
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 2 A 11 11 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 110 No Show
Coleman Barnes '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers 1222222222
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers 2444444444
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders 1888888888
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders 2101010101010101010
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders 3121212121212121212
Seattle Academy of Arts & SciencesSeattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals666666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers 1111111111
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers 2333333333
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders 1777777777
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders 2999999999
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders 3111111111111111111
Seattle Academy of Arts & SciencesSeattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals555555555

Conditions — 03/27/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1028.6 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From S (184°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine6.6 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1028.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Roosevelt: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.42)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Roosevelt by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Roosevelt, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →