Navigate

TC Tier 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 14 22 36
2 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 35 8 43
3 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 20 45 65
4 Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 34 55 89
5 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 56 44 100
6 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 51 51 102
7 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 2 51 56 107
8 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 57 53 110
9 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 1 50 62 112
10 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold 78 44 122
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 1 2 2 1 2 4 1 1 14 Eric Brieden '24
Chas Mathis Baliatico '23
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 5 4 1 3 1 1 3 2 20 Luke Adams '24
Ryan Schmidt '21
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 3 3 6 6 7 3 2 4 34 Tony Harkins '21
Jake Stagg '25
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 4 1 5 2 4 2 6 OCS 35 Michael Cyrul '24
Samantha Mason '21
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 1 6 5 7 8 5 6 5 8 50 Cj Enoksen '25
Jack Baird '25
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 2 2 6 9 5 6 OCS 7 5 51 Daniel Kotsekon '25
Winston Hegg '26
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 7 7 4 9 3 8 10 3 51 Cameron Keillor '24
Jr Bergerson '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 8 10 8 4 8 7 4 7 56 Trey Harding '23
Tommy Taylor '23
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 10 8 3 7 10 5 8 6 57 Colin Gordon '22
Grace Vanstratt '27
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold 9 9 10 10 9 OCS 9 OCS 78 Sage Brown '22
Malia Dickinson '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 Jack Miller '22
Sophia Barbas '25
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 2 4 2 2 4 3 2 3 22 Will Turner '24 [1-8]
Boaz Selinger '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Aidan Bugeja '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold 5 3 7 4 2 7 6 10 44 Hunter Hawes '21
Lee Forton '23
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 10 10 3 3 6 2 5 5 44 Case Brooks '24
Cole Harding '23
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 3 6 6 8 5 6 4 7 45 Gabe Maday '22
Tyler Winowiecki '23
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 7 7 5 10 9 4 7 2 51 Alex Reynolds '24
Max Braund '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 6 5 8 6 7 5 8 8 53 Grant Miller '24
Simon Hegg '24
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 9 9 9 9 3 9 3 4 55 Lena Clark '22
Danielle Mason '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 2 4 2 4 7 10 10 10 9 56 Moses Coco '25
Holden Trapp '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mid School 1 8 8 10 5 8 8 9 6 62 Isley Moshier '25
Gavin Graetz '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.290+0.29
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED11111111
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White22222222
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Mixed33333333
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue44444444
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mid School 188888888
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mid School 299999999
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed1010101010101010
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black66666666
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold77777777
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green1111111111111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED11111111
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White22222222
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Mixed33333333
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue44444444
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mid School 188888888
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mid School 299999999
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed1010101010101010
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black66666666
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Gold77777777
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green1111111111111111

Conditions — 04/24/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1010.8 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.8 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From SW (222°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1010.8 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at St. Francis Travers/Traverse City Centra/Traverse City West: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Francis Travers/Traverse City Centra/Traverse City West by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at St. Francis Travers/Traverse City Centra/Traverse City West).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →