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2022 PCISA SoCal 5 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 35 35
2 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 1 38 38
3 Spartans Spartans Spartans 79 79
4 Parker Parker Parker 82 82
5 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 4 98 98
6 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 105 105
7 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 109 109
8 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 2 114 114
9 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 114 114
10 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 3 121 121
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 2 4 4 6 2 1 2 1 2 3 1 1 1 2 2 1 35 Kaden Miller '25
Sydney Piquilloud '23
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 1 1 3 5 5 1 3 1 2 3 1 2 4 3 1 1 2 38 Lina Carper '23
Kristin Hawkin '24
Spartans Spartans Spartans 9 2 1 2 4 4 9 3 5 6 5 8 5 6 6 4 79
Parker Parker Parker 6 5 6 4 6 9 6 6 1 2 7 6 6 3 4 5 82 Charlotte Plant '24
Samantha Katz '24
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 4 5 6 3 7 9 5 7 8 7 9 3 5 4 5 9 6 98 Alex Markworth '25
Eve Brogan '25
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 7 7 7 9 8 6 10 5 8 5 8 9 2 8 3 3 105 Charlie Hilgeman '25
Liam Ensley '25
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 10 10 9 10 5 7 8 7 4 7 4 2 9 4 5 8 109 Ella Andersson '24
Joshua Vanwaardenburg '24
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 2 3 1 2 1 3 2 3 DNS DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 114 Max Olson '24
Trey Gregory '26
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 4 9 8 3 7 8 5 DNS 6 4 DNS 7 8 7 7 9 114 Josh Kozak '25
Mia Bohlin '24
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 3 8 8 10 8 10 10 4 4 DNS 8 6 3 7 9 8 7 121 Indigo Craig '25
Adelaide Hall '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 119191919191919191919191919191919
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 212121212121212121212121212121212
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Nado 12222222222222222
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Nado 24444444444444444
ParkerParker Parker14141414141414141414141414141414
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 19999999999999999
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 28888888888888888
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 37777777777777777
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 43333333333333333
SpartansSpartans Spartans10101010101010101010101010101010

Conditions — 03/19/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From WSW (251°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1016.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · W 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Francis Parker: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.28 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Francis Parker by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Francis Parker, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →