Bunny Hop

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 1 22 22
2 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Colts 33 33
3 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 2 37 37
4 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 43 43
5 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Red 48 48
6 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Yellow 59 59
7 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs 62 62
8 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED White 80 80
9 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 81 81
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 1 1 2 1 1 1 6 1 2 3 4 22 Brendan Falkowski '22
Emily Matko '22
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Colts 4 3 6 5 2 2 5 4 1 1 33 Bella Satterfield '24
Brigitte Chan '24
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 2 3 4 2 3 6 4 4 1 7 3 37 Cara Falkowski '24
Aidan Pearson '22
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 8 1 5 2 5 1 3 7 4 7 43 Marko Nedeljkovic '24
Nahil Edrisinha '26
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Red 5 6 3 4 4 3 6 5 6 6 48 Vincent Lisowski '24
Teddy Mayotte '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Yellow 9 DNS DNS DNS 3 5 2 3 5 2 59 Isabella Elzon '27
Cameron Briggs '24
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs 6 7 7 6 7 8 8 6 2 5 62 Michael Nesi '25
Alexander Grabowski '25
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED White 7 8 8 7 DNS 7 7 8 8 DNS 80 Sophia Worden '23
Nadiyah Tarver '26
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 2 5 4 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 81 Clayton Debryun '26
William Quick-Severin '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees 17777777777
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees 22222222222
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED4444444444
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED8888888888
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs6666666666
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Colts5555555555
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Red1111111111
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED White3333333333
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Yellow9999999999

Conditions — 04/16/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 15.7 kn
Gusts to 25.9 kn
From WNW (291°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover38% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1015.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/Mercy - MI: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.24 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.74 ± 0.40)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/Mercy - MI by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Detroit Country Day/Mercy - MI: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →