Cape & Islands Fleet Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Old Rochester RHS Old Rochester RHS Bulldogs 7 20 27
2 St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Varsity 31 8 39
3 Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 38 16 54
4 Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 15 44 59
5 Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 29 33 62
6 Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Clippers 36 36 72
7 Sturgis Charter Public School Sturgis Charter Public School Varsity 28 45 73
8 Nantucket High School Nantucket High School Nantucket Whalers 43 38 81
9 Nauset Regional High School Nauset Regional High School Varsity 53 59 112
10 Bourne High School Bourne High School Bourne 62 56 118
11 Sandwich Middle High School Sandwich Middle High School Varsity 67 52 119
12 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Devo Team 55 72 127
13 Monomoy High School (Chatham) Monomoy High School (Chatham) Sharks 71 67 138
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Old Rochester RHS Old Rochester RHS Bulldogs 2 1 1 1 1 1 7 Harrison Govoni '29
Emilia Perreira '24
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 1 5 2 2 2 3 15 Alex Kowaleski '24
Abbie Catalano '24
Sturgis Charter Public School Sturgis Charter Public School Varsity 3 7 4 6 6 2 28 Peter Cotoia '22
Ursula Budd '23
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 5 4 6 3 7 4 29 Allison Nystrom '22 [1-4]
Jeremy Bullock '24 [5-6]
Ronan Contrino '22 [1-4]
Camryn Johnson '25 [5-6]
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Varsity 9 2 5 4 5 6 31 Sophie Menyhart '23
Allison Coursey '25
Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Clippers 6 6 8 7 4 5 36 Jancy Grayson '23
Aidan Colucci '22
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 7 3 3 DSQ 3 8 38 Sam Riley '23 [1-6]
Jocelyn Balinuas '24 [1-4]
Griffin Stead '23 [5-6]
Nantucket High School Nantucket High School Nantucket Whalers RDG RDG 7 5 10 7 43 Rory Murray '25
Sara Gazaille '22
Nauset Regional High School Nauset Regional High School Varsity 4 8 12 11 9 9 53 Charlie Crowell '24
Jessie Swain '25
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Devo Team 8 9 9 10 8 11 55 Caleb Cotoia '22
Emma Beasley '23
Bourne High School Bourne High School Bourne 10 11 10 8 11 12 62 Matteo Scena '25
Phineas Chera '25
Sandwich Middle High School Sandwich Middle High School Varsity 12 10 13 9 13 10 67 Ethan Martin '23 [1-4]
Aj Powers '23 [5-6]
Caroline O'Neil '24 [1-4]
Jenna Lodge '24 [5-6]
Monomoy High School (Chatham) Monomoy High School (Chatham) Sharks 11 12 11 12 12 13 71 Forrester Belanger '22 [1-4]
Michael Considine '25 [5-6]
Adelaide Thonus '25 [1-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Varsity 1 1 3 1 1 1 8 Jack Homa '23
Morgan Batchelder '24
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 2 6 1 2 3 2 16 Henry Kyburg Abbott '23 [1-4]
Simon Hammarlund '24 [5-6]
Walker Brescia '24 [1-4]
Yossi Monahan '24 [5-6]
Old Rochester RHS Old Rochester RHS Bulldogs 4 3 2 5 2 4 20 Johnny Lally '28
Will Correia '23
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 6 2 10 7 5 3 33 Mary Sives '22 [1-4]
Jordyn Johnson '23 [5-6]
Ellianna Ramos '22 [1-4]
Molly Cahill '23 [5-6]
Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Clippers 7 5 4 3 7 10 36 Clark Olsen '23
Chloe Rapoza '23
Nantucket High School Nantucket High School Nantucket Whalers 10 8 5 6 4 5 38 Archie Ferguson '24
Alice O'Banion '24
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Seahawks 5 7 8 9 8 7 44 Aiden Peck '22
Alex Daigle '25
Sturgis Charter Public School Sturgis Charter Public School Varsity 3 4 9 8 12 9 45 Tiernan O'Kane '22
Brynn Cleary '23
Sandwich Middle High School Sandwich Middle High School Varsity 13 9 6 10 6 8 52 Tyler Lippincott '24 [1-2]
Harrison Glover '24 [3-6]
Olivia Manuel '22 [1-2]
Sarah Currey '22 [3-6]
Bourne High School Bourne High School Bourne 11 12 7 4 9 13 56 Jeffrey Luce '25 [1-6]
Wiktoria Cavanagh '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Isabella Scena '23 [3-4]
Nauset Regional High School Nauset Regional High School Varsity 9 11 11 11 11 6 59 Julien Lajoie '24
Tolly Kaiser '24
Monomoy High School (Chatham) Monomoy High School (Chatham) Sharks 8 10 13 12 13 11 67 Abigail Considine '24
Ashley Smith '24
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Devo Team 12 13 12 13 10 12 72 Nate Gedraitis '23
Preston Roe '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Barnstable HSBarnstable HS Raiders113355
Bourne High SchoolBourne High School Bourne224466
Cape Cod AcademyCape Cod Academy Seahawks335577
Falmouth High School, MAFalmouth High School, MA Clippers446688
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders557799
Monomoy High School (Chatham)Monomoy High School (Chatham) Sharks66881010
Nantucket High SchoolNantucket High School Nantucket Whalers77991111
Nauset Regional High SchoolNauset Regional High School Varsity8810101212
Old Rochester RHSOld Rochester RHS Bulldogs9911111313
St. John Paul II SchoolSt. John Paul II School Varsity1111131322
Sandwich Middle High SchoolSandwich Middle High School Varsity1010121211
Sturgis Charter Public SchoolSturgis Charter Public School Varsity12121133
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Devo Team13132244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Barnstable HSBarnstable HS Raiders224466
Bourne High SchoolBourne High School Bourne335577
Cape Cod AcademyCape Cod Academy Seahawks446688
Falmouth High School, MAFalmouth High School, MA Clippers557799
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders66881010
Monomoy High School (Chatham)Monomoy High School (Chatham) Sharks77991111
Nantucket High SchoolNantucket High School Nantucket Whalers8810101212
Nauset Regional High SchoolNauset Regional High School Varsity9911111313
Old Rochester RHSOld Rochester RHS Bulldogs1010121211
St. John Paul II SchoolSt. John Paul II School Varsity12121133
Sandwich Middle High SchoolSandwich Middle High School Varsity1111131322
Sturgis Charter Public SchoolSturgis Charter Public School Varsity13132244
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Devo Team113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Allison Nystrom '22 [1-4]
Jeremy Bullock '24 [5-6]
Ronan Contrino '22 [1-4]
Camryn Johnson '25 [5-6]
Raiders Mary Sives '22 [1-4]
Jordyn Johnson '23 [5-6]
Ellianna Ramos '22 [1-4]
Molly Cahill '23 [5-6]
Bourne High School Bourne High School Matteo Scena '25 Phineas Chera '25
Bourne Jeffrey Luce '25 [1-6] Wiktoria Cavanagh '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Isabella Scena '23 [3-4]
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Alex Kowaleski '24 Abbie Catalano '24
Seahawks Aiden Peck '22 Alex Daigle '25
Falmouth High School, MA Falmouth High School, MA Jancy Grayson '23 Aidan Colucci '22
Clippers Clark Olsen '23 Chloe Rapoza '23
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Sam Riley '23 [1-6] Jocelyn Balinuas '24 [1-4]
Griffin Stead '23 [5-6]
Vineyarders Henry Kyburg Abbott '23 [1-4]
Simon Hammarlund '24 [5-6]
Walker Brescia '24 [1-4]
Yossi Monahan '24 [5-6]
Monomoy High School (Chatham) Monomoy High School (Chatham) Forrester Belanger '22 [1-4]
Michael Considine '25 [5-6]
Adelaide Thonus '25 [1-4]
Sharks Abigail Considine '24 Ashley Smith '24
Nantucket High School Nantucket High School Rory Murray '25 Sara Gazaille '22
Nantucket Whalers Archie Ferguson '24 Alice O'Banion '24
Nauset Regional High School Nauset Regional High School Charlie Crowell '24 Jessie Swain '25
Varsity Julien Lajoie '24 Tolly Kaiser '24
Old Rochester RHS Old Rochester RHS Harrison Govoni '29 Emilia Perreira '24
Bulldogs Johnny Lally '28 Will Correia '23
Sandwich Middle High School Sandwich Middle High School Ethan Martin '23 [1-4]
Aj Powers '23 [5-6]
Caroline O'Neil '24 [1-4]
Jenna Lodge '24 [5-6]
Varsity Tyler Lippincott '24 [1-2]
Harrison Glover '24 [3-6]
Olivia Manuel '22 [1-2]
Sarah Currey '22 [3-6]
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Sophie Menyhart '23 Allison Coursey '25
Varsity Jack Homa '23 Morgan Batchelder '24
Sturgis Charter Public School Sturgis Charter Public School Peter Cotoia '22 Ursula Budd '23
Varsity Tiernan O'Kane '22 Brynn Cleary '23
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Caleb Cotoia '22 Emma Beasley '23
Devo Team Nate Gedraitis '23 Preston Roe '24

Conditions — 05/25/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1029.8 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From SSE (148°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1029.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Barnstable Hyannis YC: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.51 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Barnstable Hyannis YC by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Barnstable Hyannis YC: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →