CBI 420 Series 2

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 1 8 8
2 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 2 20 20
3 The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 3 22 22
4 Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 2 24 24
5 Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 1 28 28
6 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 3 29 29
7 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 1 34 34
8 Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 2 36 36
9 Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 3 41 41
10 Needham High School Needham High School Rockets 3 47 47
11 The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 1 59 59
12 The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 2 60 60
13 Needham High School Needham High School Rockets 1 60 60
14 Needham High School Needham High School Rockets 2 66 66
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 1 1 1 2 3 1 8 Nick Belev '22
Oliver Page '22
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 2 3 2 3 9 3 20 Max Boni '23
Caroline White '23
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 3 6 4 5 5 2 22 Grace Abbot '22
Ada Horton '29
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 2 2 5 1 1 DNS 24 Annie Depriest '22
Caroline Meckel '24
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 1 4 3 4 2 DNS 28 Jane Mathews '22
Avery Spaulding '25
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 3 9 6 6 4 4 29 Alexandra Adams '24
Kate Constan '22
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 1 7 8 7 7 5 34 Caroline Jiang '24
Jack Mcnealy '22
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 2 8 7 9 6 6 36 Harper Mccarthy '24
Madeline Disel '24
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 3 5 10 8 11 7 41 Anna Mcenaney '22
Matt Tracy '24
Needham High School Needham High School Rockets 3 12 9 10 8 8 47 Emily Flanagan '25
Parker Fiset '25
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 1 10 12 14 13 10 59 Anne Li '27
Deedee Ansari '24
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 2 11 11 13 14 11 60 Emily Zinner '22
Alina Unknown '22
Needham High School Needham High School Rockets 1 DNS DNS 11 10 9 60 Julia Nephem '22
Romy Gaudet '22
Needham High School Needham High School Rockets 2 DNS DNS 12 12 12 66 Mika Zelikov '23
Anika Ray '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 11414141414
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 21515151515
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 31616161616
Natick High SchoolNatick High School Redhawks 199999
Natick High SchoolNatick High School Redhawks 288888
Natick High SchoolNatick High School Redhawks 355555
Needham High SchoolNeedham High School Rockets 111111
Needham High SchoolNeedham High School Rockets 222222
Needham High SchoolNeedham High School Rockets 344444
Newton Country Day SchoolNewton Country Day School Falcons 166666
Newton Country Day SchoolNewton Country Day School Falcons 277777
The Winsor SchoolThe Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 11111111111
The Winsor SchoolThe Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 21212121212
The Winsor SchoolThe Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 31313131313
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 1 Caroline Jiang '24 Jack Mcnealy '22
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 2 Max Boni '23 Caroline White '23
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 3 Alexandra Adams '24 Kate Constan '22
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 1 Nick Belev '22 Oliver Page '22
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 2 Harper Mccarthy '24 Madeline Disel '24
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 3 Anna Mcenaney '22 Matt Tracy '24
Needham High School Needham High School Rockets 1 Julia Nephem '22 Romy Gaudet '22
Needham High School Needham High School Rockets 2 Mika Zelikov '23 Anika Ray '25
Needham High School Needham High School Rockets 3 Emily Flanagan '25 Parker Fiset '25
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 1 Jane Mathews '22 Avery Spaulding '25
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 2 Annie Depriest '22 Caroline Meckel '24
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 1 Anne Li '27 Deedee Ansari '24
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 2 Emily Zinner '22 Alina Unknown '22
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 3 Grace Abbot '22 Ada Horton '29

Conditions — 04/25/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1024.9 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From ENE (76°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1024.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Needham: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Needham by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Needham: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →