Forrest Cook Regatta Oregon Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 13 7 20
2 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 30 16 46
3 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 34 16 50
4 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 3 25 35 60
5 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 24 42 66
6 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 14 54 68
7 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 3 37 33 70
8 Newport High School (OR) Newport High School (OR) Cubs 52 47 99
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 1 2 1 1 7 1 13 Leif Hauge '24
Saylor Hauge '25
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 2 1 2 3 1 5 14 Hayden Jacobson '23
Patrick Kissinger '25
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 DNF 4 5 2 2 2 24 Zack Riccelli '23
Andrew Dolle '25
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 3 5 3 4 4 6 3 25 Alexander Cherevatenko '25
Magnus Long '23
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 3 BKD 7 6 3 6 30 Nolan Petrin '23
Catie Harding '22
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 4 DNF 3 5 4 DNS 34 Kate Pauly '23
Ella Newton '22
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 3 6 DNF 6 7 5 4 37 Montenson Leif '24
Leif Voeks '24
Newport High School (OR) Newport High School (OR) Cubs DNF DNF 8 8 DNS DNS 52 Everett Johnson '25 [1-6]
Aeden Osborn '22 [1-2]
Kyrsten Escamilla '24 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 1 1 1 1 2 1 7 Cole Newbrook '25
Fin Van Rutledge '25
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 2 3 2 3 3 3 16 Fergie Waag '24
Cassidy Reitman '25
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 3 2 4 4 1 2 16 Everett Mcavoy '22
Emily Harding '24
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 3 5 5 3 2 DNS DNS 33 Koji Kubo '22
Jonah Goode-Barmann '25
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 3 4 4 DNF DNS 5 4 35 Oliver Fogarty '25
Evelyn Grimm '24
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 6 DNF DNF 5 4 DNS 42 Kieran Banyard '23
Henry Tuttle '26
Newport High School (OR) Newport High School (OR) Cubs DNF DNS DNF DNS 6 5 47 Finnigan Collson '25 [1-6]
Sophia Lihou '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Aeden Osborn '22 [3-4]
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 DNF DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS 54 Gavin Plumb '23
Kelsey Jacobson '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Columbia High School - WAColumbia High School - WA Bruins113355
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 1224466
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 2335577
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 3446688
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1557711
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2668822
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 3771133
Newport High School (OR)Newport High School (OR) Cubs882244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Columbia High School - WAColumbia High School - WA Bruins224466
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 1335577
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 2446688
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 3557711
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1668822
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2771133
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 3882244
Newport High School (OR)Newport High School (OR) Cubs113355

Conditions — 05/07/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1004.2 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.3 kn
avg  ·  max 14.2 kn
Gusts to 28.8 kn
From WSW (236°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine2.6 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1004.2 hPa Rain0.12 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Port of Hood River Event Site: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.26 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Port of Hood River Event Site by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Port of Hood River Event Site: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →