MDISA Gunston Spring Bronze '22

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Gunston Gunston Herons 1 25 9 34
2 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 15 25 40
3 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 1 16 35 51
4 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 39 19 58
5 Gunston Gunston Herons 2 11 64 75
6 Gunston Gunston Herons 3 46 34 80
7 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 49 33 82
8 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 2 43 45 88
9 Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends Fox 47 47 94
10 Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 56 39 95
11 Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 50 49 99
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Gunston Gunston Herons 2 1 1 5 1 1 2 11 Ian Kissel '23
Matthew Periconi '24
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 3 3 1 3 2 3 15 Hartley Cooper '26 [1-6]
Joseph Dibonaventuro '26 [1-4]
Freyja Raines '27 [5-6]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 1 5 2 2 2 4 1 16 Sophie Griggs '24
Eric Nielsen '24
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 2 4 3 4 6 6 25 Tommy Mcgeady '25
Caeden Harrison '24
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 9 9 8 6 3 4 39 Armand Otmishi '24
Josh Sambrano '23
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 2 6 6 7 7 9 8 43 Lara Nielsen '24
Molly Dowling '25
Gunston Gunston Herons 3 4 5 9 DNF 5 11 46 Cy Johnston '23 [1-6]
Nina Johnston '25 [1-2]
Logan Kille '25 [3-4]
Alex Mcintyre '25 [5-6]
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends Fox 7 8 4 9 10 9 47 Jonathan Piercey '25
Amelia Thomas '23
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 8 10 11 8 7 5 49 Henry Oaten '26
Felicia Gomoljak '26
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 11 7 6 5 11 10 50 Claire Rowland '26
Theodore Jones '24
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 10 11 10 10 8 7 56 Asa Arnot '25
Carter Steiert '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 9 Robbie Wilmer '24
Ben Gilbert '25
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 3 3 1 1 4 7 19 Louisa Kalinski '25
Caroline Welte '25
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers DNF 2 2 5 2 2 25 Thomas Birchfield '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Joseph Dibonaventuro '26 [3-4]
Freyja Raines '27 [1-2]
Thomas Birchfield '27 [3-4]
Joseph Dibonaventuro '26 [5-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 6 4 4 4 5 10 33 Erin Lawlor '26
Felicia Gomoljak '26
Gunston Gunston Herons 3 8 10 7 3 3 3 34 Julia Buchanan '23 [1-6]
Grace Anne Philips '23 [1-2]
Maggie Miller '23 [3-6]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 1 4 5 6 7 9 4 35 Fiona O'Rourke '27
Robert Whisman '24
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 2 7 9 8 8 5 39 Henry Bishop '25
Mason Vock '25
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 2 5 8 10 10 6 6 45 Nola Primeaux '25
Maggie Dowling '27
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends Fox 9 6 5 6 10 11 47 Bruce Mcintyre '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Emmett Nash '28 [3-4]
Chi Chi Chao '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 7 9 8 9 7 9 49 Sophia Hammond '26
Sebastian Haber '27
Gunston Gunston Herons 2 DNS 11 11 11 11 8 64 Lilah Paddy '24 [1-6]
Lucia Melchiorre '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Ari Triandos '24 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins224466
Friends School of BaltimoreFriends School of Baltimore Quakers335577
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers77991111
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers8810101212
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres12123355
Sidwell FriendsSidwell Friends Fox99111122
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs 11010121233
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs 211112244
GunstonGunston Herons 1446688
GunstonGunston Herons 2557799
GunstonGunston Herons 366881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins335577
Friends School of BaltimoreFriends School of Baltimore Quakers446688
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers8810101212
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers99111122
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres224466
Sidwell FriendsSidwell Friends Fox1010121233
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs 111112244
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs 212123355
GunstonGunston Herons 1557799
GunstonGunston Herons 266881010
GunstonGunston Herons 377991111

Conditions — 04/23/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1026.2 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From SSE (152°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover78% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1026.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 3 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at The Gunston: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.16)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.43 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.16 means a rating gap counts about 14% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Gunston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at The Gunston, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →