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Herreshoff Qualifier - Newport

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 26
2 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 61
3 North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 76
4 Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 76
5 Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 97
6 Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers 132
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons A 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Emily Doble '24 [1-6]
Georgia Shuster '25 [1-4]
Belle Garnett '22 [5-6]
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons B 2 8 2 2 2 4 20 Kate Myles '25
South Fulweiler '25
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity B 5 5 3 7 3 3 26 Kaitlin Hynes '25
Olivia Nolan '22
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers A 3 3 6 8 6 2 28 Marykate Hanus '24
Julia Cotsonas '22
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity A 7 4 8 4 7 5 35 Ashley Franklin '22 [1-4]
Summer Mills '23 [5-6]
Alexa Quinn '22 [1-4]
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens A 8 2 5 3 10 9 37 Charlotte West '24
Becca Healey '24
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens B 6 10 7 5 4 7 39 Claire Fink '22 [1-6]
Mary Powell '23 [1-4]
Mary Davidson '24 [5-6]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings B 9 11 4 9 5 8 46 Morgan Spring '25
Caitlin Mccabe '22
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers B 10 6 11 6 9 6 48 Alice Dunning '25
Anaclaire Tamboe '22
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings A 4 7 9 10 11 10 51 Sophia Rey '22
Orlaith Neylon '22
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers A 11 9 10 11 8 12 61 Talia Levine '22 [1-6]
Summer Hall '22 [1-2]
Marley Mills '24 [3-4]
Ava Belli '25 [5-6]
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers B 12 12 12 12 12 11 71 Ivy Dumas '25 [1-6]
Kat Mccolough '24 [1-2]
Brooke Kelley '24 [3-4]
Louisa Kazanjian '25 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers9911111313
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers111113131515
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens131315151717
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings151517171919
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons1717191999
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Varsity1919991111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers101012121414
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers121214141616
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens141416161818
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings161618182020
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons181820201010
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Varsity202010101212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Talia Levine '22 [1-6] Summer Hall '22 [1-2]
Marley Mills '24 [3-4]
Ava Belli '25 [5-6]
Quakers Ivy Dumas '25 [1-6] Kat Mccolough '24 [1-2]
Brooke Kelley '24 [3-4]
Louisa Kazanjian '25 [5-6]
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Marykate Hanus '24 Julia Cotsonas '22
Skippers Alice Dunning '25 Anaclaire Tamboe '22
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Charlotte West '24 Becca Healey '24
Ravens Claire Fink '22 [1-6] Mary Powell '23 [1-4]
Mary Davidson '24 [5-6]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Sophia Rey '22 Orlaith Neylon '22
Vikings Morgan Spring '25 Caitlin Mccabe '22
St. George's School St. George's School Emily Doble '24 [1-6] Georgia Shuster '25 [1-4]
Belle Garnett '22 [5-6]
Dragons Kate Myles '25 South Fulweiler '25
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Ashley Franklin '22 [1-4]
Summer Mills '23 [5-6]		 Alexa Quinn '22 [1-4]
Varsity Kaitlin Hynes '25 Olivia Nolan '22

Conditions — 05/21/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 94%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 12.1 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From SW (218°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity94% Pressure1016.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sail Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sail Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Sail Newport, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →