Lake Travis Spring 3

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Cavaliers 1 Cavaliers 1 Cavaliers 1 14 14
2 Cavaliers 2 Cavaliers 2 Cavaliers 2 16 16
3 Chaparrals Chaparrals Chaparrals 19 19
4 SEISA 1 SEISA 1 SEISA 1 21 21
5 SEISA 2 SEISA 2 SEISA 2 27 27
6 SEISA 3 SEISA 3 SEISA 3 34 34
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT
Cavaliers 1 Cavaliers 1 Cavaliers 1 2 5 2 2 2 1 14
Cavaliers 2 Cavaliers 2 Cavaliers 2 1 3 1 1 3 DNF 16
Chaparrals Chaparrals Chaparrals 4 1 6 5 1 2 19
SEISA 1 SEISA 1 SEISA 1 3 2 3 3 6 4 21
SEISA 2 SEISA 2 SEISA 2 DNS 4 4 4 5 3 27
SEISA 3 SEISA 3 SEISA 3 DNS DNS 5 6 4 5 34
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Cavaliers 1Cavaliers 1 Cavaliers 1111111
Cavaliers 2Cavaliers 2 Cavaliers 2222222
SEISA 1SEISA 1 SEISA 1444444
SEISA 2SEISA 2 SEISA 2555555
SEISA 3SEISA 3 SEISA 3666666
ChaparralsChaparrals Chaparrals333333

Conditions — 04/01/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 35%  ·  Pressure 1014.2 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From SE (142°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity35% Pressure1014.2 hPa

What this breeze does at Lake Travis — from fleet racing

Breeze: SE about 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Lake Travis in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lake Travis by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Lake Travis, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →