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LYC Spring Regatta 2022

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 10 18 28
2 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 26 14 40
3 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 30 23 53
4 Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 36 33 69
5 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed 46 23 69
6 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 31 44 75
7 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 36 42 78
8 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 38 56 94
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 10 Emma Friedauer '22
Connor Coate '25
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 3 4 3 6 5 3 2 26 Emerson Becker '24
Max Son '23
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 5 3 6 3 6 1 6 30 Emma Hershey '23
Rose Darner '26
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity DNS 1 1 7 3 6 4 31 Collin Roberts '23
Liam Nelson '22
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 2 5 8 4 2 7 8 36 Jenna Drobny '23
Jacob Samerin '23
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 6 7 5 2 7 4 5 36 Henry Elmore '25
Sarah Clowes '25
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 4 6 7 5 4 5 7 38 Sofia Ely '23
Lukas Skoracki '23
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed 7 8 4 8 8 8 3 46 Alex Mcbride '27
Vincent Ireland '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 1 1 2 2 4 2 2 14 Klay Redman '22
Kai Tran '27
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 2 2 1 7 1 4 1 18 Graham Newbauer '24
Liam Rodriguez '24
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 3 5 3 1 3 5 3 23 Noah Olsen '22
Jonathan Harding '24
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed 4 3 4 4 2 1 5 23 Sami York '24
Cecilia Maher '27
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 5 4 5 6 6 3 4 33 Jacob Hartong '26
Grant Fuerst '27
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Bears 6 6 7 5 5 7 6 42 Elena Fernandez '23
Javier Fernandez '26
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 7 7 6 3 8 6 7 44 Ethan Lowe '26
Roman Joseph '23
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 8 8 8 8 7 8 DNS 56 Jamie Vance '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions16161818202022
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks17171919212123
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Varsity18182020222216
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Mixed19192121232317
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed20202222161618
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Mixed21212323171719
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Bears22221616181820
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Mixed23231717191921

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions17171919212123
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks18182020222216
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Varsity19192121232317
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Mixed20202222161618
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed21212323171719
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Mixed22221616181820
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Bears23231717191921
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Mixed16161818202022

Conditions — 05/21/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.8 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From SW (216°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1015.1 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bexley: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.31 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bexley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Bexley: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →