MDISA Kent Island JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Gunston Gunston Herons 18 8 26
2 Appoquinimink High School Appoquinimink High School Jaguars 13 22 35
3 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 19 26 45
4 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 28 32 60
5 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 37 27 64
6 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 46 28 74
7 The Potomac School The Potomac School Panthers 28 50 78
8 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 39 39 78
9 Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 51 43 94
10 Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 46 55 101
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Appoquinimink High School Appoquinimink High School Jaguars 2 1 1 3 1 5 13 Skylor Sweet '22
Abigayle Wyman '25
Gunston Gunston Herons 4 5 2 2 3 2 18 Tommy Mcgeady '25
Eli Moore '25
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 1 2 3 1 8 4 19 Hartley Cooper '26 [1-6]
Caroline Welte '25 [1-2]
Armand Otmishi '24 [3-6]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 3 3 9 5 2 6 28 Sophie Griggs '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Lara Nielsen '24 [3-4]
Eric Nielsen '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Molly Dowling '25 [3-4]
The Potomac School The Potomac School Panthers 5 4 BKD 4 7 3 28 Zachary Lighthammer '24
Max Molinoff '23
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 8 10 6 8 4 1 37 Caden Latchaw '23 [1-4]
Jackson Park '22 [5-6]
Audrey Valentino '24 [1-4]
Noah Wigglesworth '22 [5-6]
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 6 7 4 10 5 7 39 Stefano De Leo '23
William Kessner '23
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 9 9 8 6 6 8 46 Jack Sieg '24 [1-6]
Lila Gottenberg '25 [1-2]
Bruce Mcintyre '28 [3-6]
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 10 6 5 7 9 9 46 Evan Ticar '23
Emma Borden '25
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 7 8 7 9 10 10 51 Claire Rowland '26
Theodore Jones '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 1 1 1 3 1 8 Robbie Wilmer '24
Ben Gilbert '25
Appoquinimink High School Appoquinimink High School Jaguars 3 3 3 5 4 4 22 James Cottage '23
Emma Gaz '24
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 6 7 4 2 1 6 26 Cristian Botsis '25
Victor Kleppinger '25
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 8 5 2 3 2 7 27 Zachary Wells '25 [1-2]
Theo Ransom '22 [3-4]
William Fachet '23 [5-6]
Henry Macmillan '26 [1-2]
Catherine Valentino '22 [3-4]
Matthew Burggraff '22 [5-6]
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 2 2 7 6 9 2 28 Carter Robbins '25
Adam Schutsky '23
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 4 4 10 4 5 5 32 Fiona O'Rourke '27 [1-4]
Molly Dowling '25 [5-6]
Robert Whisman '24 [1-2]
Carter Steiert '27 [3-4]
Lara Nielsen '24 [5-6]
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 5 9 9 7 6 3 39 Phoebe Milhollin '24 [1, 5-6]
Brendan Finn Van Riper '24 [2-4]
Marco Pilotto '25 [1, 5-6]
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 7 6 5 9 7 9 43 Sophia Hammond '26
Mason Vock '25
The Potomac School The Potomac School Panthers 10 8 6 10 8 8 50 Eli Cummins '27
Neve Ayvazian '27
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 9 10 8 8 RDG DNS 55 John Thomas '27
Amelia Thomas '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Appoquinimink High SchoolAppoquinimink High School Jaguars88101022
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers224466
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers335577
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres557799
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs446688
GunstonGunston Herons113355
The Potomac SchoolThe Potomac School Panthers66881010
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals779911
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Varsity991133
Winston Churchill High SchoolWinston Churchill High School Bulldogs10102244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Appoquinimink High SchoolAppoquinimink High School Jaguars991133
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers335577
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers446688
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres66881010
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs557799
GunstonGunston Herons224466
The Potomac SchoolThe Potomac School Panthers779911
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals88101022
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Varsity10102244
Winston Churchill High SchoolWinston Churchill High School Bulldogs113355

Conditions — 04/10/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1013.6 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
18.3 kn
avg  ·  max 22.0 kn
Gusts to 31.9 kn
From WNW (297°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine7.3 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1013.6 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 19 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kent Island: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.52)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.64
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.32 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.52 means a rating gap counts about 45% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kent Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Kent Island, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →