PCISA NorCal #6 - GOLD

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Redwood Redwood Giants 1 12 12
2 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 14 14
3 The Urban School The Urban School Blues 1 25 25
4 St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 29 29
5 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 30 30
6 Redwood Redwood Giants 2 35 35
7 Redwood Redwood Giants 3 38 38
8 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 52 52
9 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 53 53
10 The Urban School The Urban School Blues 2 58 58
11 Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 59 59
12 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 3 68 68
13 Bishop O'Dowd High School Bishop O'Dowd High School Varsity 74 74
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Redwood Redwood Giants 1 1 7 1 1 1 1 12 Cooper Smith '22
Blake Oberbauer '26
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 14 Ryan Marquess '22
Abbie Zhang '24
The Urban School The Urban School Blues 1 4 1 8 4 5 3 25 Tucker Lamoreux '23
Stella Reynaga '24
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 6 6 3 2 6 6 29 Marina Priskich '25 [1, 3, 5]
Beckett Shinn '25 [2, 4, 6]
Beckett Shinn '25 [1, 3, 5]
Marina Priskich '25 [2, 4, 6]
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 2 4 9 8 3 4 30 Dylan Wondolleck '23
Kelly Benson '24
Redwood Redwood Giants 2 7 8 4 7 4 5 35 Jim Young '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Morgan Headington '24 [3-4]
Morgan Headington '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Jim Young '23 [3-4]
Redwood Redwood Giants 3 5 3 7 5 8 10 38 Reid Willens '22
Nathan Posard '26
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 9 5 6 DNF 7 11 52 Ryder Weston '23
Quinn Karm '23
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 10 10 5 12 9 7 53 Chase Carson '25
Lauren Brack '26
The Urban School The Urban School Blues 2 13 9 11 6 11 8 58 Zach Gordon '24
Kai Classen '24
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 8 11 12 9 10 9 59 Brendan Connelly '23 [1-3, 6]
Molly Connelly '26 [4-5]
Kaivo Kadai '25 [1-2, 4-6]
Molly Connelly '26 [3]
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 3 11 13 10 10 12 12 68 Reid Sojka '26
Makenan Smith '23
Bishop O'Dowd High School Bishop O'Dowd High School Varsity 12 12 13 11 13 13 74 Marin Hillyard '24
Claire Abboud '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Acalanes High SchoolAcalanes High School Dons555555555555
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 1444444444444
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 2464646464646
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 3505050505050
Bishop O'Dowd High SchoolBishop O'Dowd High School Varsity414141414141
RedwoodRedwood Giants 1122122122122122122
RedwoodRedwood Giants 2123123123123123123
RedwoodRedwood Giants 3124124124124124124
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats333333
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 1999999999999
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 2989898989898
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Blues 1666666
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Blues 2555555
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons Brendan Connelly '23 [1-3, 6]
Molly Connelly '26 [4-5]
Kaivo Kadai '25 [1-2, 4-6]
Molly Connelly '26 [3]
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 Dylan Wondolleck '23 Kelly Benson '24
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 Chase Carson '25 Lauren Brack '26
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 3 Reid Sojka '26 Makenan Smith '23
Bishop O'Dowd High School Bishop O'Dowd High School Varsity Marin Hillyard '24 Claire Abboud '24
Redwood Redwood Giants 1 Cooper Smith '22 Blake Oberbauer '26
Redwood Redwood Giants 2 Jim Young '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Morgan Headington '24 [3-4]
Morgan Headington '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Jim Young '23 [3-4]
Redwood Redwood Giants 3 Reid Willens '22 Nathan Posard '26
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats Marina Priskich '25 [1, 3, 5]
Beckett Shinn '25 [2, 4, 6]
Beckett Shinn '25 [1, 3, 5]
Marina Priskich '25 [2, 4, 6]
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 Ryder Weston '23 Quinn Karm '23
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 Ryan Marquess '22 Abbie Zhang '24
The Urban School The Urban School Blues 1 Tucker Lamoreux '23 Stella Reynaga '24
The Urban School The Urban School Blues 2 Zach Gordon '24 Kai Classen '24

Conditions — 02/06/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1025.0 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.5 kn
avg  ·  max 3.6 kn
Gusts to 10.7 kn
From NE (49°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1025.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at San Domenico: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.42 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at San Domenico by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at San Domenico: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →