SAISA Brunswick Open Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 15 12 27
2 Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 18 19 37
3 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy JV 23 23 46
4 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 20 28 48
5 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 38 29 67
6 Heritage Academy Heritage Academy Hurricanes 44 41 85
7 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 40 47 87
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 3 1 2 2 1 3 3 15 Liam Kolkmeyer '23
Wyatt Kolkmeyer '25
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 4 2 1 3 3 1 4 18 Julia Dinzelbacher '25
Wyatt Hartigan '24
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 2 DSQ 4 1 2 2 1 20 Felix Hagar '25
Mya Thomas '24
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy JV 1 4 3 4 5 4 2 23 Bowen Colquit '23 [1-2, 6]
Sebastian Helgesen '23 [3, 7]
Collin Register '23 [4-5]
Sebastian Helgesen '23 [1-2, 4]
Collin Register '23 [3, 6-7]
Bowen Colquit '23 [5]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 6 6 6 5 4 6 5 38 Gabriella Beccara '24
Alexander Lisowski '25
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 5 5 5 7 7 5 6 40 Nash Allison '24
Sydney Allison '22
Heritage Academy Heritage Academy Hurricanes 7 3 7 6 6 7 DNS 44 Angelo Mola '23
Cece Kersey '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 1 4 1 2 2 1 1 12 Ethan Waters '23 [1, 3, 5-7]
Josh Spencer '23 [2, 4]
Josh Spencer '23 [1, 3, 5-7]
Ethan Waters '23 [2, 4]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 2 1 2 3 4 3 4 19 Tom Commander '23
Jake Steiger '23
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy JV 3 3 4 4 3 4 2 23 Zane Buchli '22
Bruce Bland '25
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 4 2 7 6 1 5 3 28 Fletcher Lasher '23 [1-7]
Harrison Martin '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Walker Martin '23 [3-4, 7]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 7 6 3 1 5 2 5 29 Cailey Clancy '25 [1]
Sean Madigan '24 [2-7]
Brayden Wip '25 [1]
Heritage Academy Heritage Academy Hurricanes 5 5 6 5 6 6 DNS 41 Jack Lively '24
Anna Fuge '24
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors 6 7 5 7 7 7 DNF 47 Hunter Ingersoll '23 [1-7]
Collin Nalley '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Stevie Paris '25 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.440+0.44
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny1111111
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ2222222
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy JV4444444
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity3333333
Heritage AcademyHeritage Academy Hurricanes5555555
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity6666666
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors7777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny1111111
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ2222222
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy JV4444444
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity3333333
Heritage AcademyHeritage Academy Hurricanes5555555
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity6666666
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw Warriors7777777
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Gabriella Beccara '24 Alexander Lisowski '25
Bishop Kenny Cailey Clancy '25 [1]
Sean Madigan '24 [2-7]
Brayden Wip '25 [1]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville Julia Dinzelbacher '25 Wyatt Hartigan '24
ESJ Tom Commander '23 Jake Steiger '23
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Bowen Colquit '23 [1-2, 6]
Sebastian Helgesen '23 [3, 7]
Collin Register '23 [4-5]
Sebastian Helgesen '23 [1-2, 4]
Collin Register '23 [3, 6-7]
Bowen Colquit '23 [5]
JV Zane Buchli '22 Bruce Bland '25
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Liam Kolkmeyer '23 Wyatt Kolkmeyer '25
Varsity Ethan Waters '23 [1, 3, 5-7]
Josh Spencer '23 [2, 4]
Josh Spencer '23 [1, 3, 5-7]
Ethan Waters '23 [2, 4]
Heritage Academy Heritage Academy Angelo Mola '23 Cece Kersey '26
Hurricanes Jack Lively '24 Anna Fuge '24
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Felix Hagar '25 Mya Thomas '24
Varsity Fletcher Lasher '23 [1-7] Harrison Martin '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Walker Martin '23 [3-4, 7]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Nash Allison '24 Sydney Allison '22
Waccamaw Warriors Hunter Ingersoll '23 [1-7] Collin Nalley '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Stevie Paris '25 [3-4]

Conditions — 02/19/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1023.7 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From NW (322°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1023.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Glynn Academy: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.40 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Glynn Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Glynn Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →