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Severn School Girls Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 4 4
2 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 9 9
3 Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 16 16
4 Webster Central Schools Webster Central Schools Webster Central s 18 18
5 Buffalo Seminary Buffalo Seminary Red-Tailed Hawks 28 28
6 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 28 28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 4 Ava Cornell '24
Lilly Baker '23
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 2 3 2 2 9 Claire Sullivan '25
Eliza Szymendera '25
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs 4 2 3 DNF 16 Adelaide Matzky '25
Abigail Ogie '24
Webster Central Schools Webster Central Schools Webster Central s 3 4 4 DNF 18 Layla Altobelli '24
Gweneth Tetzlaff '24
Buffalo Seminary Buffalo Seminary Red-Tailed Hawks DNS DNS DNS DNS 28 Kaya Fitzpatrick '24
Isabella Fukushima '24
Towson High School Towson High School Generals DNS DNS DNS DNS 28 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Buffalo SeminaryBuffalo Seminary Red-Tailed Hawks7777
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets8888
Mercy High SchoolMercy High School Monarchs9999
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals10101010
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals11111111
Webster Central SchoolsWebster Central Schools Webster Central s12121212
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Buffalo Seminary Buffalo Seminary Red-Tailed Hawks Kaya Fitzpatrick '24 Isabella Fukushima '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets Claire Sullivan '25 Eliza Szymendera '25
Mercy High School Mercy High School Monarchs Adelaide Matzky '25 Abigail Ogie '24
Severn School Severn School Admirals Ava Cornell '24 Lilly Baker '23
Towson High School Towson High School Generals No Show No Show
Webster Central Schools Webster Central Schools Webster Central s Layla Altobelli '24 Gweneth Tetzlaff '24

Conditions — 05/07/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Slight rain
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1006.2 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.4 kn
avg  ·  max 17.0 kn
Gusts to 33.4 kn
From NE (42°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1006.2 hPa Rain0.96 in

What this breeze does at Severn — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Severn in this breeze: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.14)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Severn by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Severn, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →