Willamette Spring Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 6 6 12
2 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 15 28 43
3 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 21 22 43
4 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 22 24 46
5 Newport High School (OR) Newport High School (OR) Cubs 34 25 59
6 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 28 32 60
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Leif Hauge '24
Saylor Hauge '25
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 15 Catie Harding '22
Charlotte Osenar '25
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 5 3 3 3 5 2 21 Alex Baldwin '25
Kelsey Jacobson '26
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 4 4 4 4 2 4 22 Kate Pauly '23
Fergie Waag '24
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 2 5 6 6 4 5 28 Alexander Cherevatenko '25
Addison Strear '24
Newport High School (OR) Newport High School (OR) Cubs 6 6 5 5 6 6 34 Everett Johnson '25
Aeden Osborn '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Columbia High School - WA Columbia High School - WA Bruins 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Cole Newbrook '25
Fin Van Rutledge '25
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2 4 3 5 2 4 4 22 Saylor Hauge '25
Jonah Goode-Barmann '25
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1 6 5 4 4 2 3 24 Gavin Plumb '23
Cooper Wood '23
Newport High School (OR) Newport High School (OR) Cubs 3 DNF DNS 3 3 2 25 Finnigan Collson '25
Difranco Cortes '26
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 2 2 3 DNS DNS DNS 28 Braden Voelkel '25
Evelyn Grimm '24
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 5 4 2 DNS DNS DNS 32 Annika Hopp '25
Antalya Williamson '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Columbia High School - WAColumbia High School - WA Bruins77991111
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 18810101212
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 299111177
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 11010121288
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 211117799
Newport High School (OR)Newport High School (OR) Cubs1212881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Columbia High School - WAColumbia High School - WA Bruins8810101212
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 199111177
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles 21010121288
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 111117799
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 21212881010
Newport High School (OR)Newport High School (OR) Cubs77991111

Conditions — 03/19/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1017.1 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 28°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.4 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From WSW (258°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1017.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Central Catholic/Franklin/Lincoln OR: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.53 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Central Catholic/Franklin/Lincoln OR by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Central Catholic/Franklin/Lincoln OR: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →