2023 Norcal 6 Gold Fleet

HostTreasure Island Sailing Center
Date02/12/2023
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Stevenson School	Pirates	19	19
2	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	21	21
3	Redwood	Giants 1	30	30
4	Encinal High School	Jets 2	33	33
5	Carlmont	The Scots	39	39
6	Redwood	Giants 3	46	46
7	Redwood	Giants 2	46	46
8	Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	55	55
9	Acalanes High School	Dons	57	57
10	Encinal High School	Jets 1	58	58
11	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	62	62
12	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	69	69
13	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	69	69
14	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	70	70
15	Blues	Blues	83	83
16	Los Altos High	Eagles	85	85
17	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	96	96
18	Alameda High School	Hornets 3	100	100
19	Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	102	102

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Stevenson School	Pirates	1	4	5	1	6	2	19	Max Mccormick '24 Stevie Thomsen '23
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	3	3	1	6	1	7	21	Owen Cuyler '24 Kelly Benson '24
Redwood	Giants 1	4	18	3	2	2	1	30	Morgan Headington '24 Adeline Turner '23
Encinal High School	Jets 2	7	1	12	4	4	5	33	Kyle Nguyen '24 Ava Estilaei '27
Carlmont	The Scots	2	2	8	8	15	4	39	Ward Brouwer '24 Tyler Robinson '27
Redwood	Giants 3	9	6	4	12	9	6	46	Parker Stacy '26 Lauren Olsen '24
Redwood	Giants 2	15	7	9	7	5	3	46	Nathan Posard '26 Xander Mann '26
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	11	10	10	5	11	8	55	Dominic Lin '25 Anne Burg '25
Acalanes High School	Dons	10	5	17	13	3	9	57	Brendan Connelly '23 [1-6] Aria Falahati '27 [1-5] Jay Shoenhair '26 [6]
Encinal High School	Jets 1	8	14	2	10	13	11	58	Emi Puertas '27 Ellie Tucker '27
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	5	8	11	18	8	12	62	Reid Sojka '26 [1-6] Sabine Lee '25 [1-2, 5-6] Charles Maxey '25 [3-4]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	6	13	14	9	17	10	69	Jack Phibbs '23 Annika Burns '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	14	9	6	16	10	14	69	Melanie Magnani '23 Simone Karlon '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	18	11	7	14	7	13	70	Matthew Huskins '23 Lorelai Hartman '25
Blues	Blues	13	16	18	3	16	17	83
Los Altos High	Eagles	12	15	13	15	14	16	85	Nolan Theodore '26 Deniz Ozcan '26
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	19	19	16	11	12	19	96	No Show Jason Lester '24
Alameda High School	Hornets 3	17	17	15	17	19	15	100	Chase Carson '25 [1-6] Joby Overton '26 [1-2, 5-6] Charles Maxey '25 [3-4]
Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	16	12	19	19	18	18	102	Adrian Maciuca '25 Liberty Evans '26

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.160+0.16

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Acalanes High School Dons	52	52	52	52	52	52
Alameda High School Hornets 1	57	57	57	57	57	57
Alameda High School Hornets 2	55	55	55	55	55	55
Alameda High School Hornets 3	45	45	45	45	45	45
Carlmont The Scots	21	21	21	21	21	21
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	23	23	23	23	23	23
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	24	24	24	24	24	24
Encinal High School Jets 1	49	49	49	49	49	49
Encinal High School Jets 2	50	50	50	50	50	50
Los Altos High Eagles	26	26	26	26	26	26
Menlo-Atherton Varsity	22	22	22	22	22	22
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View	25	25	25	25	25	25
Redwood Giants 1	123	123	123	123	123	123
Redwood Giants 2	122	122	122	122	122	122
Redwood Giants 3	121	121	121	121	121	121
Stevenson School Pirates	97	97	97	97	97	97
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	78	78	78	78	78	78
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	80	80	80	80	80	80
Blues Blues	6	6	6	6	6	6

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Acalanes High School	Dons	Brendan Connelly '23 [1-6]	Aria Falahati '27 [1-5] Jay Shoenhair '26 [6]
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Owen Cuyler '24	Kelly Benson '24
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	Reid Sojka '26 [1-6]	Sabine Lee '25 [1-2, 5-6] Charles Maxey '25 [3-4]
Alameda High School	Hornets 3	Chase Carson '25 [1-6]	Joby Overton '26 [1-2, 5-6] Charles Maxey '25 [3-4]
Carlmont	The Scots	Ward Brouwer '24	Tyler Robinson '27
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	Melanie Magnani '23	Simone Karlon '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	Matthew Huskins '23	Lorelai Hartman '25
Encinal High School	Jets 1	Emi Puertas '27	Ellie Tucker '27
Encinal High School	Jets 2	Kyle Nguyen '24	Ava Estilaei '27
Los Altos High	Eagles	Nolan Theodore '26	Deniz Ozcan '26
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	Dominic Lin '25	Anne Burg '25
Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	Adrian Maciuca '25	Liberty Evans '26
Redwood	Giants 1	Morgan Headington '24	Adeline Turner '23
Redwood	Giants 2	Nathan Posard '26	Xander Mann '26
Redwood	Giants 3	Parker Stacy '26	Lauren Olsen '24
Stevenson School	Pirates	Max Mccormick '24	Stevie Thomsen '23
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Jack Phibbs '23	Annika Burns '23
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	No Show	Jason Lester '24

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2023 Norcal 6 Gold Fleet

Division A

From the notes