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Bunny Hop PYC #2

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Troy High School Troy High School Troy 40 40
2 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Seahawks 43 43
3 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Lakers 49 49
4 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green 53 53
5 Troy High School Troy High School Colts 58 58
6 Troy High School Troy High School White 59 59
7 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 78 78
8 Troy High School Troy High School Varsity 90 90
9 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maples 93 93
10 Avondale High School Avondale High School Mixed Red 103 103
11 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB White 109 109
12 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon 118 118
13 Groves High School Groves High School MIXED 129 129
14 Troy High School Troy High School Red 133 133
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Troy High School Troy High School Troy 4 1 7 3 3 3 4 1 3 3 8 40 Nicole Torkos '25
Lucia Sharp '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Seahawks 1 9 1 5 1 6 1 6 1 11 1 43 Michael Mullins '23 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Nate Bacheller '24 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Nate Bacheller '24 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Michael Mullins '23 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Lakers 5 4 5 13 2 1 5 2 6 4 2 49 Sean Ellison '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Brent Armstrong '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Brent Armstrong '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Sean Ellison '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green 3 12 3 4 4 9 3 3 2 7 3 53 Jack Armstrong '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Ian Phipps '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Ian Phipps '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Jack Armstrong '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Troy High School Troy High School Colts 2 5 2 1 14 14 2 9 4 1 4 58 Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-4, 7, 9, 11]
Clara Le Moal '24 [5-6, 8, 10]
Clara Le Moal '24 [1-4, 7, 9, 11]
Rodrigo Flores '24 [5-6, 8, 10]
Troy High School Troy High School White 11 2 4 2 5 4 7 4 5 6 9 59 Monika Torkos '23
Quinn Curcio '24
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 8 3 13 6 8 2 8 12 9 2 7 78 Erin Degrazia '27 [1-2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Isabella Elzon '27 [3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Isabella Elzon '27 [1-2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Erin Degrazia '27 [3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Troy High School Troy High School Varsity 7 10 6 8 7 11 6 8 8 8 11 90 Bella Satterfield '24 [1-2, 4-11]
Sophia Worden '23 [3]
Sophia Worden '23 [1-2, 4-11]
Bella Satterfield '24 [3]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maples 6 11 9 11 10 7 9 5 7 12 6 93 Jamie Stewart '27 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Maya Nagy '26 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Maya Nagy '26 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Jamie Stewart '27 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Avondale High School Avondale High School Mixed Red 9 8 10 9 9 12 12 7 12 5 10 103 Quinn Elliott '26 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Brigitte Chan '24 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Brigitte Chan '24 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Quinn Elliott '26 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB White 12 7 14 7 6 5 13 10 13 9 13 109 Dorian Ferguson '26 [1-2, 9]
Nahil Edrisinha '26 [3-6, 10-11]
Brianna Briggs '25 [7-8]
Brianna Briggs '25 [1, 5-6, 11]
Nahil Edrisinha '26 [2, 9]
Dorian Ferguson '26 [3-4, 7-8, 10]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon 10 13 12 12 13 8 10 11 10 14 5 118 Alex Fox '27 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Ryan Ellison '28 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Ryan Ellison '28 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Alex Fox '27 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Groves High School Groves High School MIXED 14 6 8 14 12 13 14 13 11 10 14 129 Luc Messner '27 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Michael Butcher '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Michael Butcher '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Luc Messner '27 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Troy High School Troy High School Red 13 14 11 10 11 10 11 14 14 13 12 133 James Xiao '26 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Teddy Mayotte '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Teddy Mayotte '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
James Xiao '26 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Avondale High SchoolAvondale High School Mixed Red88888888888
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Maples1414141414141414141414
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon1010101010101010101010
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Seahawks1616161616161616161616
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED99999999999
Groves High SchoolGroves High School MIXED44444444444
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Colts1111111111111111111111
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Red33333333333
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy22222222222
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Varsity11111111111
Troy High SchoolTroy High School White1313131313131313131313
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Lakers77777777777
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School WB Green1818181818181818181818
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School WB White66666666666
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Avondale High School Avondale High School Mixed Red Quinn Elliott '26 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Brigitte Chan '24 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]		 Brigitte Chan '24 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Quinn Elliott '26 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maples Jamie Stewart '27 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Maya Nagy '26 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]		 Maya Nagy '26 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Jamie Stewart '27 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon Alex Fox '27 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Ryan Ellison '28 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]		 Ryan Ellison '28 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Alex Fox '27 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Seahawks Michael Mullins '23 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Nate Bacheller '24 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]		 Nate Bacheller '24 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Michael Mullins '23 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED Erin Degrazia '27 [1-2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Isabella Elzon '27 [3, 5, 7, 9, 11]		 Isabella Elzon '27 [1-2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Erin Degrazia '27 [3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Groves High School Groves High School MIXED Luc Messner '27 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Michael Butcher '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]		 Michael Butcher '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Luc Messner '27 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Troy High School Troy High School Colts Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-4, 7, 9, 11]
Clara Le Moal '24 [5-6, 8, 10]		 Clara Le Moal '24 [1-4, 7, 9, 11]
Rodrigo Flores '24 [5-6, 8, 10]
Troy High School Troy High School Red James Xiao '26 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Teddy Mayotte '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]		 Teddy Mayotte '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
James Xiao '26 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Troy High School Troy High School Troy Nicole Torkos '25 Lucia Sharp '25
Troy High School Troy High School Varsity Bella Satterfield '24 [1-2, 4-11]
Sophia Worden '23 [3]		 Sophia Worden '23 [1-2, 4-11]
Bella Satterfield '24 [3]
Troy High School Troy High School White Monika Torkos '23 Quinn Curcio '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Lakers Sean Ellison '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Brent Armstrong '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]		 Brent Armstrong '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Sean Ellison '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green Jack Armstrong '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Ian Phipps '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]		 Ian Phipps '25 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Jack Armstrong '25 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB White Dorian Ferguson '26 [1-2, 9]
Nahil Edrisinha '26 [3-6, 10-11]
Brianna Briggs '25 [7-8]		 Brianna Briggs '25 [1, 5-6, 11]
Nahil Edrisinha '26 [2, 9]
Dorian Ferguson '26 [3-4, 7-8, 10]

Conditions — 04/08/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1033.3 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 31°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From SE (140°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover42% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1033.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Troy: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Troy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Troy: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →