Foundry Spring Regatta #2 - Tier 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 12 14 26
2 Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 12 24 36
3 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos HS 44 31 75
4 St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Mixed 53 23 76
5 Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 39 39 78
6 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 42 45 87
7 University Liggett School University Liggett School Knights 53 55 108
8 Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 55 58 113
9 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 50 71 121
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 12 Annika Vanderhorst '23
Molly Keane '26
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 12 Jacob Myers '24
Rider Myers '26
Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 4 9 7 5 3 4 3 4 39 Sadie Young '25
Wilhem Vanderhorst '25
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 7 4 9 4 5 3 4 6 42 Brady Mayer '25
Joe Lavelle '23
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos HS 3 5 6 8 6 8 5 3 44 Blake Glazer '27
Logan Miceli '27
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 6 3 3 6 9 6 8 9 50 Cara Falkowski '24
Abbey Toner '24
University Liggett School University Liggett School Knights 5 7 4 3 8 9 9 8 53 Anabell Klaasen '26
Allie Roth '24
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Mixed 8 8 5 9 4 5 7 7 53 Jacob Wackers '25
Shay Malone '25
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 9 6 8 7 7 7 6 5 55 George Prokop '24
Zoey Crossley '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 2 1 4 2 1 1 1 2 14 Buck Rathbun '24
Reese Levinson '25
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Mixed 3 3 2 1 4 7 2 1 23 Braden Basile '30
Grace French '23
Bay High School Bay High School Rockets 1 2 1 3 7 4 3 3 24 Noah Scholtz '25
James Kelly '24
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos HS 5 4 5 4 2 3 4 4 31 Clayton Debruyn '26
Melissa Goodwin '27
Bay High School Bay High School Mixed 4 6 3 5 5 5 5 6 39 Kellie Keane '24
Eli Barker '25
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 7 7 7 6 3 2 8 5 45 Bert Wirtz '23
Logan Gale '25
University Liggett School University Liggett School Knights 6 5 8 7 6 8 6 9 55 Mia Pyenta '24
Kathryn Turner '25
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 8 8 6 8 8 6 7 7 58 Nicholas Williams '24
Kate Bania '24
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 71 Savana Harte '26
Colin Fitzgerald '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees11111111
Bay High SchoolBay High School Mixed33333333
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets22222222
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Norsemen44444444
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos HS55555555
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates66666666
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Mixed77777777
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats88888888
University Liggett SchoolUniversity Liggett School Knights99999999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees11111111
Bay High SchoolBay High School Mixed33333333
Bay High SchoolBay High School Rockets22222222
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Norsemen44444444
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos HS55555555
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates66666666
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Mixed77777777
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats88888888
University Liggett SchoolUniversity Liggett School Knights99999999

Conditions — 05/20/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 11.5 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From NW (313°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine6.3 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1016.5 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bay/Rocky River/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH): a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bay/Rocky River/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH) by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Bay/Rocky River/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH): the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →