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Foundry Spring Regatta #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 2 2 4
2 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity 4 5 9
3 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 9 5 14
4 Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Warhawks 9 10 19
5 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 10 10 20
6 Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 10 12 22
7 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 12 16 28
8 St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Mixed 16 12 28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 1 1 2 Jacob Myers '24
Rider Myers '26
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity 2 2 4 Nicholas Robertson '23
Lily Broklof '24
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Warhawks 3 6 9 Mia Eisma '24
Graham Newbauer '24
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 4 5 9 Sami York '24
Emily Ream '27
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 6 4 10 Emerson Becker '24
Braden Manning '24
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 7 3 10 Henry Elmore '25
Macy Savage '25
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 5 7 12 Brady Mayer '25
Joe Lavelle '23
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Mixed 8 8 16 Shay Malone '25
Jacob Wackers '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 1 1 2 Buck Rathbun '24
Reese Levinson '25
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 2 3 5 Emma Hershey '23
Rose Darner '26
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity 3 2 5 Liam Rodriguez '24
Marianne Mendez '25
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 4 6 10 Gavin Grundei '25
Foster Old '25
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Warhawks 6 4 10 Charlie Brunelle '26
Arthur Vins '29
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 5 7 12 Flynn Becker '25
Sarah Clowes '25
St. Edward High School St. Edward High School Mixed 7 5 12 Braden Basile '30
Grace French '23
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 8 8 16 Bert Wirtz '23
Logan Gale '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions11
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks22
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Varsity33
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates44
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Mixed55
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats66
Westerville Central High SchoolWesterville Central High School Warhawks77
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack88

Division B

Team1B2B
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions11
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks22
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Varsity33
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates44
St. Edward High SchoolSt. Edward High School Mixed55
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats66
Westerville Central High SchoolWesterville Central High School Warhawks77
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack88

Conditions — 05/13/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From N (352°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine4.3 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1019.9 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bay/Rocky River/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH): an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.35 ± 0.33)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bay/Rocky River/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH) by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Bay/Rocky River/St. Edward/St. Ignatius (OH): the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →