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Friday Night Lights #1

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 40
2 Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots 43
3 Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers 51
4 MBL Coop MBL Coop MBL Coop 53
5 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 73
6 Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders 100
7 Varsity Varsity Varsity 104
8 Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 111
9 Skippers Skippers Skippers 130
10 Purple Purple Purple 138
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders B 1 5 4 1 11 Ethan Brown '25 [1-2]
Claire Lewis '23 [3-4]
Fallon Torbott '27 [1-2]
Sarah Turner '25 [3-4]
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers A 4 2 5 3 14 Noah Hemingway '23
Brooke Kelley '24
MBL Coop MBL Coop MBL Coop A 10 3 1 2 16
Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots A 9 4 3 4 20 Leo Burnham '25
Cole Hughes '24
Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Patriots B 7 8 2 6 23 James Hacket '26 [1-4]
Morgan Hubbell '27 [1-2]
Matthew Defalco '27 [3-4]
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders A 3 7 14 5 29 Abbey Grandin '23 [1-2]
Aurora Meunier Mott '24 [3-4]
Lizzie Rak '27 [1-2]
Ebby Demos '26 [3-4]
Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders A 5 11 10 8 34 Bruce Gibson '25 [1-4]
Alyse Moy '23 [1-2]
Adriana Carroll '23 [3-4]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers B 2 13 7 13 35 Colin Auvil '26
Cole Kinzie '25
MBL Coop MBL Coop MBL Coop B 6 1 DSQ 9 37
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Quakers B 12 9 9 7 37 Teo Fremont-Smith '25
Natthavee Kunathai '24
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers A 8 10 6 14 38 Karina Reikhrud '25
Harper Kelley '25
Varsity Varsity Varsity A 14 15 11 11 51
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings A 15 20 8 10 53 Michael Bucci '23 [1-4]
Will Dargan '25 [1-2]
Aspen Pearson '24 [3-4]
Varsity Varsity Varsity B 11 14 16 12 53
Skippers Skippers Skippers A 18 6 15 19 58
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings B 13 17 12 16 58 Katie Guinan '25 [1-4]
Mia Hanson '26 [1-2]
Zoila Chavarrio Pleitez '24 [3-4]
Purple Purple Purple A 17 16 13 15 61
Middletown High School Middletown High School Islanders B 16 12 DNF 17 66 Ella Donaldson '23 [1-2, 4]
Riley Dupre '25 [3]
Kathlyn Weiss '23 [1-2]
Leeza Swann '25 [3]
Zen Tien '26 [4]
Skippers Skippers Skippers B 19 18 17 18 72
Purple Purple Purple B 20 19 18 20 77
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
PurplePurple Purple1111
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers3333
Middletown High SchoolMiddletown High School Islanders5555
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers7777
SkippersSkippers Skippers9999
Portsmouth High School RIPortsmouth High School RI Patriots11111111
VarsityVarsity Varsity13131313
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings15151515
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders17171717
MBL CoopMBL Coop MBL Coop19191919

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
PurplePurple Purple2222
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers4444
Middletown High SchoolMiddletown High School Islanders6666
Moses Brown SchoolMoses Brown School Quakers8888
SkippersSkippers Skippers10101010
Portsmouth High School RIPortsmouth High School RI Patriots12121212
VarsityVarsity Varsity14141414
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings16161616
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders18181818
MBL CoopMBL Coop MBL Coop20202020
School / Team SkipperCrew
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Karina Reikhrud '25 Harper Kelley '25
Avengers Colin Auvil '26 Cole Kinzie '25
Middletown High School Middletown High School Bruce Gibson '25 [1-4] Alyse Moy '23 [1-2]
Adriana Carroll '23 [3-4]
Islanders Ella Donaldson '23 [1-2, 4]
Riley Dupre '25 [3]		 Kathlyn Weiss '23 [1-2]
Leeza Swann '25 [3]
Zen Tien '26 [4]
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School Noah Hemingway '23 Brooke Kelley '24
Quakers Teo Fremont-Smith '25 Natthavee Kunathai '24
Portsmouth High School RI Portsmouth High School RI Leo Burnham '25 Cole Hughes '24
Patriots James Hacket '26 [1-4] Morgan Hubbell '27 [1-2]
Matthew Defalco '27 [3-4]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Michael Bucci '23 [1-4] Will Dargan '25 [1-2]
Aspen Pearson '24 [3-4]
Vikings Katie Guinan '25 [1-4] Mia Hanson '26 [1-2]
Zoila Chavarrio Pleitez '24 [3-4]
The Prout School The Prout School Abbey Grandin '23 [1-2]
Aurora Meunier Mott '24 [3-4]		 Lizzie Rak '27 [1-2]
Ebby Demos '26 [3-4]
Crusaders Ethan Brown '25 [1-2]
Claire Lewis '23 [3-4]		 Fallon Torbott '27 [1-2]
Sarah Turner '25 [3-4]

Conditions — 04/21/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1020.9 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From ESE (113°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1020.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sail Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sail Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Sail Newport, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →