JV/Composite at N. Pts #6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Enloe High School Enloe High School JV 17 23 40
2 Girls Leadership Academy of Wilmington Girls Leadership Academy of Wilmington Phoenix 26 15 41
3 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors B 21 21 42
4 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 34 17 51
5 Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Falcons 28 30 58
6 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue 34 25 59
7 Richmond Hill Sailing Richmond Hill Sailing Composite one 13 47 60
8 Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 43 38 81
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Richmond Hill Sailing Richmond Hill Sailing Composite one 1 1 4 1 4 2 13 Joseph Moore '23
Lulu Massenet '23
Enloe High School Enloe High School JV 6 5 1 2 2 1 17 Charlotte Pare '24
Audrey Drabenstott '24
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors B 2 2 3 7 1 6 21 William Mccarty '26
Charlie Claus '26
Girls Leadership Academy of Wilmington Girls Leadership Academy of Wilmington Phoenix 4 8 2 6 3 3 26 Luca Williamson '24
Alder Lesko '28
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Falcons 3 3 7 4 7 4 28 Garrett Phillips '24
Samuel Welsford '24
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 7 4 6 3 6 8 34 Fletcher Lasher '23 [1-2, 4]
Peter Tetrov '25 [3, 5-6]
Georgia Montgomery '26 [1-2]
Ryan Frye '25 [3-4, 6]
Leaf Longo '27 [5]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue 8 6 5 5 5 5 34 Trey Medlin '25
Alex Cai '25
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 5 7 8 8 8 7 43 Ryden Jarvis '27
Henry Fanning '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Girls Leadership Academy of Wilmington Girls Leadership Academy of Wilmington Phoenix 4 1 7 1 1 1 15 Sam Carson '24
Caroline Smith '25
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 2 2 1 4 2 6 17 Noah Dailey '27 [1-6]
Lucy Krauk '26 [1]
Piper Brown '26 [2]
Malia Garvin '24 [3-4]
Thomas Bearden '27 [5-6]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors B 3 3 4 3 3 5 21 Garrett Davis '25 [1-6]
Grace Gast '24 [1-2]
Savannah Bryan '28 [3-6]
Enloe High School Enloe High School JV 1 4 3 5 7 3 23 Amelia Pare '23
Owen O'Rourke '24
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue 5 5 6 2 5 2 25 Caroline Smith '25
Olivia Burdette '25
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Falcons 7 6 2 7 4 4 30 Haolin Chen '28
Anna Grace Williams '24
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 6 8 5 6 6 7 38 Lucian Lerose '27
Sean Gallagher '26
Richmond Hill Sailing Richmond Hill Sailing Composite one 8 7 8 8 8 8 47 Anthony Moore '25
Maddie Smoyer '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors B845384538453845384538453
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Falcons476347634763476347634763
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity875987598759875987598759
Enloe High SchoolEnloe High School JV111111111111111111
Girls Leadership Academy of WilmingtonGirls Leadership Academy of Wilmington Phoenix906890689068906890689068
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV141414141414
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue401401401401401401
Richmond Hill SailingRichmond Hill Sailing Composite one131313131313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors B845384538453845384538453
Ben Lippen SchoolBen Lippen School Falcons476347634763476347634763
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity875987598759875987598759
Enloe High SchoolEnloe High School JV111111111111111111
Girls Leadership Academy of WilmingtonGirls Leadership Academy of Wilmington Phoenix906890689068906890689068
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV141414141414
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue401401401401401401
Richmond Hill SailingRichmond Hill Sailing Composite one131313131313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School William Mccarty '26 Charlie Claus '26
Raptors B Garrett Davis '25 [1-6] Grace Gast '24 [1-2]
Savannah Bryan '28 [3-6]
Ben Lippen School Ben Lippen School Garrett Phillips '24 Samuel Welsford '24
Falcons Haolin Chen '28 Anna Grace Williams '24
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Ryden Jarvis '27 Henry Fanning '27
CFA Varsity Lucian Lerose '27 Sean Gallagher '26
Enloe High School Enloe High School Charlotte Pare '24 Audrey Drabenstott '24
JV Amelia Pare '23 Owen O'Rourke '24
Girls Leadership Academy of Wilmington Girls Leadership Academy of Wilmington Luca Williamson '24 Alder Lesko '28
Phoenix Sam Carson '24 Caroline Smith '25
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Fletcher Lasher '23 [1-2, 4]
Peter Tetrov '25 [3, 5-6]
Georgia Montgomery '26 [1-2]
Ryan Frye '25 [3-4, 6]
Leaf Longo '27 [5]
JV Noah Dailey '27 [1-6] Lucy Krauk '26 [1]
Piper Brown '26 [2]
Malia Garvin '24 [3-4]
Thomas Bearden '27 [5-6]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Trey Medlin '25 Alex Cai '25
Vikings JV Blue Caroline Smith '25 Olivia Burdette '25
Richmond Hill Sailing Richmond Hill Sailing Joseph Moore '23 Lulu Massenet '23
Composite one Anthony Moore '25 Maddie Smoyer '27

Conditions — 02/25/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 35%  ·  Pressure 1023.0 hPa

Temperature

32°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 13°F
Feels like 22°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.5 kn
avg  ·  max 12.4 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From SSW (213°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity35% Pressure1023.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 13 kn · SE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at James Island Yacht Club: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.25 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at James Island Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at James Island Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →