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NJISA North Series 2 Raritan

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Delbarton School Delbarton School Green Wave 1 11 11
2 Seton Hall Preparatory School Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates 11 11
3 The Pingry School The Pingry School Big Blue 20 20
4 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 20 20
5 Voorhees High School Voorhees High School Vikings 23 23
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 29 29
7 North Hunterdon High School North Hunterdon High School Lions 32 32
8 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 42 42
9 Delbarton School Delbarton School Green Wave 2 45 45
10 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 50 50
11 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 50 50
12 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 57 57
13 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 65 65
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Delbarton School Delbarton School Green Wave 1 1 3 1 3 3 11 James O'Gwen '23
Johnny Lang '23
Seton Hall Preparatory School Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates 2 1 2 2 4 11 Drew D'Orsi '24
Ryan D'Orsi '26
The Pingry School The Pingry School Big Blue 3 2 4 5 6 20 Megan Soos '27
Avery Hoffman '26
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 8 4 6 1 1 20 Pilar Cundey '23
Grace Penque '25
Voorhees High School Voorhees High School Vikings 5 7 5 4 2 23 Teddy Martin '23
Cole Martin '27
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 6 5 7 6 5 29 Lauren Murray '24
Dara Greengrass '24
North Hunterdon High School North Hunterdon High School Lions 4 6 3 12 7 32 Connor Mchugh '24
Chase Caskey '26
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 7 9 8 10 8 42 Jamie Lynch '23
Keira Press '23
Delbarton School Delbarton School Green Wave 2 11 8 10 7 9 45 Jack Tonzola '25
Will Seery '28
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 9 11 11 8 11 50 Caroline Caviness '25
Divyanshi Rath '25
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 10 12 9 9 10 50 Emma Gumney '24
Julia Gumny '26
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 12 10 12 11 12 57 Peter Huntley-Robertson '25
Evy Elbanna '26
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 13 13 13 13 13 65 Grant Press '25
Cameron Francini '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 111111
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 222222
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 333333
Delbarton SchoolDelbarton School Green Wave 11111111111
Delbarton SchoolDelbarton School Green Wave 22525252525
North Hunterdon High SchoolNorth Hunterdon High School Lions1414141414
Seton Hall Preparatory SchoolSeton Hall Preparatory School Pirates1313131313
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 177777
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 288888
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 399999
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 41010101010
The Pingry SchoolThe Pingry School Big Blue1515151515
Voorhees High SchoolVoorhees High School Vikings1717171717
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 Jamie Lynch '23 Keira Press '23
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 Grant Press '25 Cameron Francini '25
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 Caroline Caviness '25 Divyanshi Rath '25
Delbarton School Delbarton School Green Wave 1 James O'Gwen '23 Johnny Lang '23
Delbarton School Delbarton School Green Wave 2 Jack Tonzola '25 Will Seery '28
North Hunterdon High School North Hunterdon High School Lions Connor Mchugh '24 Chase Caskey '26
Seton Hall Preparatory School Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates Drew D'Orsi '24 Ryan D'Orsi '26
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 Pilar Cundey '23 Grace Penque '25
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 Lauren Murray '24 Dara Greengrass '24
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 Peter Huntley-Robertson '25 Evy Elbanna '26
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 Emma Gumney '24 Julia Gumny '26
The Pingry School The Pingry School Big Blue Megan Soos '27 Avery Hoffman '26
Voorhees High School Voorhees High School Vikings Teddy Martin '23 Cole Martin '27

Conditions — 04/20/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1022.4 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From ESE (111°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover48% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1022.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Summit: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.21 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →