PCISA NorCal Championships

HostAragon/Design Tech/Gunn/Menlo-Atherton/Palo Alto High
Date04/08/2023
TypeLeague Championship
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Redwood	Giants	17	26	43
2	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	28	30	58
3	Aragon High School	Aragon	36	34	70
4	The Urban School	Blues	47	63	110
5	Acalanes High School	Dons	58	54	112
6	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	66	55	121
7	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	46	81	127
8	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	75	52	127
9	Marin Catholic	Wildcats	94	35	129
10	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	36	94	130
11	San Domenico High School	Panthers	56	96	152
12	Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	77	87	164
13	Palo Alto High	Vikings	87	84	171
14	Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	123	50	173
15	SOTA High School	SOTA	114	74	188
16	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	109	85	194
17	Encinal High School	Jets	61	138	199
18	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	109	90	199
19	Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	99	128	227
20	Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	133	116	249

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Redwood	Giants	4	2	1	3	1	4	2	17	Morgan Headington '24 Parker Stacy '26
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	1	12	6	4	3	1	1	28	Owen Cuyler '24 Kelly Benson '24
Aragon High School	Aragon	2	1	9	7	6	6	5	36	Lucas Kasper '23 Marie Peroulas '29
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	7	11	2	6	4	2	4	36	Evie Littler '25 Jack Phibbs '23
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	5	14	7	10	2	5	3	46	Max Mccormick '24 Stevie Thomsen '23
The Urban School	Blues	3	3	4	2	7	DNS	7	47	Zach Gordon '24 Stella Reynaga '24
San Domenico High School	Panthers	8	6	14	1	5	10	12	56	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-7] Alex Collier-Lake '24 [1-4] Owen Chan '23 [5-7]
Acalanes High School	Dons	10	4	5	12	8	11	8	58	Brendan Connelly '23 Kaivo Kadai '25
Encinal High School	Jets	11	9	10	5	11	9	6	61	Emi Puertas '27 Ellie Tucker '27
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	17	5	8	11	13	3	9	66	Melanie Magnani '23 Simone Karlon '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	14	8	3	13	15	12	10	75	Nathan Friedman '23 Donovan Techel '25
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	6	7	15	15	10	8	16	77	Dominic Lin '25 Anne Burg '25
Palo Alto High	Vikings	12	10	12	14	17	7	15	87	Maxwell Akash ("Kashi") Tuteja '25 Karthi Gottipati '25
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	16	15	16	8	14	14	11	94	Charlie Cain '25 [1-7] Rj Scheuring '25 [1-2, 5-6] Stella Ward Turko '27 [3-4, 7]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	13	13	13	9	18	19	14	99	Skye Crawford '25 Peyton Wright '25
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	9	17	20	16	12	18	17	109	Makenan Smith '23 Sabine Lee '25
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	15	20	11	18	19	13	13	109	Abbie Zhang '24 [1-2, 5-7] Tibet Kilic '24 [3-4] Sadie Marinerstein '24 [1-2, 5-7] Tim Zhao '24 [3-4]
SOTA High School	SOTA	18	16	17	19	9	17	18	114	Oscar Perry '24 Ali Gershon '25
Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	19	18	19	17	16	15	19	123	Jaiden Jacobs '24 Arthur Tran '24
Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	20	19	18	20	20	16	20	133	Will Kizer '25 Linnea Furlan '23

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Redwood	Giants	5	1	4	4	3	4	5	26	Nathan Posard '26 Xander Mann '26
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	6	7	6	1	7	2	1	30	Dylan Wondolleck '23 John Maxey '23
Aragon High School	Aragon	4	2	5	12	1	1	9	34	Sebastian Bounds '23 Scarlett Bounds '26
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	9	9	1	2	4	6	4	35	Leo Robillard '25 [1-7] Josefina Pallmann '24 [1-2, 5-6] Ben Brooks '24 [3-4, 7]
Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	1	14	12	5	12	3	3	50	David Hervy '25 Liberty Evans '26
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	7	13	9	6	6	9	2	52	Aleksandar Abrams '23 Lorelai Hartman '25
Acalanes High School	Dons	2	5	8	3	14	16	6	54	Molly Connelly '26 Micaela Jorcino '24
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	10	4	3	15	5	8	10	55	Matthew Huskins '23 Emily Hong '24
The Urban School	Blues	12	3	7	14	2	7	18	63	Henry Scalise '26 Kai Classen '24
SOTA High School	SOTA	8	6	17	8	13	11	11	74	Audrey Corson '24 Gabriel "Val" Cornejo '23
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	16	12	2	17	8	14	12	81	Ryder Weston '23 Quinn Karm '23
Palo Alto High	Vikings	14	8	11	7	16	15	13	84	Mira Stettner '27 Jacob Moore '27
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	15	16	15	13	9	10	7	85	Joby Overton '26 Charles Maxey '25
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	13	10	13	10	15	12	14	87	Alex Wullschleger '26 Matthew Mueller '24
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	17	11	10	11	11	13	17	90	Patrick O'Hara '27 [1-7] Claire Lee '26 [1-2] Aaron Eagle '27 [3-7]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	19	20	16	9	10	5	15	94	Bea Littler '27 [1-2, 5-7] Genevieve Cantin '25 [3-4] Charles Winstead '24 [1-2, 5-7] Joshua Soriano '25 [3-4]
San Domenico High School	Panthers	3	19	14	16	17	19	8	96	Praire Press '26 [1-7] Dylan Song '25 [1-4] Seamus Crain '26 [5-7]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	11	15	19	18	19	18	16	116	John Nix '25 Nia Raghavan '25
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	20	17	18	19	18	17	19	128	Grant Sloan '25 Sebastian Lin '26
Encinal High School	Jets	18	18	20	20	20	DNF	DNF	138	Ava Estilaei '27 Oscar Abrons '27

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.170+0.17

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Acalanes High School Dons	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Alameda High School Hornets 1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Alameda High School Hornets 2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Aragon High School Aragon	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Design Tech High School d.tech 3	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Design Tech High School d.tech 4	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Encinal High School Jets	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Henry M. Gunn High School Titans	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Marin Catholic Wildcats	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Menlo-Atherton Varsity	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Palo Alto High Vikings	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Redwood Giants	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
San Domenico High School Panthers	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
SOTA High School SOTA	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Stevenson School Pirates 1	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Stevenson School Pirates 2	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	19	19	19	19	19	19	19
The Urban School Blues	20	20	20	20	20	20	20

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Acalanes High School Dons	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Alameda High School Hornets 1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Alameda High School Hornets 2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Aragon High School Aragon	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Design Tech High School d.tech 3	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Design Tech High School d.tech 4	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Encinal High School Jets	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Henry M. Gunn High School Titans	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Marin Catholic Wildcats	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Menlo-Atherton Varsity	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Palo Alto High Vikings	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Redwood Giants	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
San Domenico High School Panthers	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
SOTA High School SOTA	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Stevenson School Pirates 1	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Stevenson School Pirates 2	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	19	19	19	19	19	19	19
The Urban School Blues	20	20	20	20	20	20	20

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Acalanes High School	Brendan Connelly '23	Kaivo Kadai '25
Dons	Molly Connelly '26	Micaela Jorcino '24
Alameda High School	Owen Cuyler '24	Kelly Benson '24
Hornets 1	Dylan Wondolleck '23	John Maxey '23
Alameda High School	Makenan Smith '23	Sabine Lee '25
Hornets 2	Joby Overton '26	Charles Maxey '25
Aragon High School	Lucas Kasper '23	Marie Peroulas '29
Aragon	Sebastian Bounds '23	Scarlett Bounds '26
Design Tech High School	Melanie Magnani '23	Simone Karlon '23
d.tech 1	Matthew Huskins '23	Emily Hong '24
Design Tech High School	Nathan Friedman '23	Donovan Techel '25
d.tech 2	Aleksandar Abrams '23	Lorelai Hartman '25
Design Tech High School	Skye Crawford '25	Peyton Wright '25
d.tech 3	Grant Sloan '25	Sebastian Lin '26
Design Tech High School	Will Kizer '25	Linnea Furlan '23
d.tech 4	John Nix '25	Nia Raghavan '25
Encinal High School	Emi Puertas '27	Ellie Tucker '27
Jets	Ava Estilaei '27	Oscar Abrons '27
Henry M. Gunn High School	Jaiden Jacobs '24	Arthur Tran '24
Titans	David Hervy '25	Liberty Evans '26
Marin Catholic	Charlie Cain '25 [1-7]	Rj Scheuring '25 [1-2, 5-6] Stella Ward Turko '27 [3-4, 7]
Wildcats	Leo Robillard '25 [1-7]	Josefina Pallmann '24 [1-2, 5-6] Ben Brooks '24 [3-4, 7]
Menlo-Atherton	Dominic Lin '25	Anne Burg '25
Varsity	Alex Wullschleger '26	Matthew Mueller '24
Palo Alto High	Maxwell Akash ("Kashi") Tuteja '25	Karthi Gottipati '25
Vikings	Mira Stettner '27	Jacob Moore '27
Redwood	Morgan Headington '24	Parker Stacy '26
Giants	Nathan Posard '26	Xander Mann '26
SOTA High School	Oscar Perry '24	Ali Gershon '25
SOTA	Audrey Corson '24	Gabriel "Val" Cornejo '23
San Domenico High School	Merritt Sellers '26 [1-7]	Alex Collier-Lake '24 [1-4] Owen Chan '23 [5-7]
Panthers	Praire Press '26 [1-7]	Dylan Song '25 [1-4] Seamus Crain '26 [5-7]
Stevenson School	Max Mccormick '24	Stevie Thomsen '23
Pirates 1	Ryder Weston '23	Quinn Karm '23
Stevenson School	Abbie Zhang '24 [1-2, 5-7] Tibet Kilic '24 [3-4]	Sadie Marinerstein '24 [1-2, 5-7] Tim Zhao '24 [3-4]
Pirates 2	Patrick O'Hara '27 [1-7]	Claire Lee '26 [1-2] Aaron Eagle '27 [3-7]
Tamalpais High School	Evie Littler '25	Jack Phibbs '23
Red Tailed Hawks	Bea Littler '27 [1-2, 5-7] Genevieve Cantin '25 [3-4]	Charles Winstead '24 [1-2, 5-7] Joshua Soriano '25 [3-4]
The Urban School	Zach Gordon '24	Stella Reynaga '24
Blues	Henry Scalise '26	Kai Classen '24

Conditions — 04/08/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 79% · Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

59°F

↑ 62°F ↓ 51°F

Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

3.8 kn

avg · max 6.4 kn

Gusts to 16.5 kn

From NNE (13°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at Aragon/Design Tech/Gunn/Menlo-Atherton/Palo Alto High: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Aragon/Design Tech/Gunn/Menlo-Atherton/Palo Alto High by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Aragon/Design Tech/Gunn/Menlo-Atherton/Palo Alto High, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu