PYC #5 Sunshine Regatta!

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 14 14
2 Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Mixed 31 31
3 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 33 33
4 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 42 42
5 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black 44 44
6 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue 64 64
7 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 66 66
8 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 76 76
9 Groves High School Groves High School MIXED Green 87 87
10 Troy High School Troy High School Troy 91 91
11 Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Red 100 100
12 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 102 102
13 Dewitt High School Dewitt High School Dewitt HS Mixed 109 109
14 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange 114 114
15 Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue 118 118
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 1 3 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 14 Nyle Eggert '24
Elsie Torresen '27
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Mixed 5 2 3 3 3 3 4 6 2 31 Lila Torresen '25
Brady Wallace '27
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 2 1 4 2 5 5 5 4 5 33 Charlie Vink '27
Kari Taylor '25
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 3 7 7 4 2 2 3 10 4 42 Jack Hubbard '25
Logan Thien '25
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black 4 8 2 5 4 4 1 8 8 44 Max Eggert '26
Lucas Williams '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue 8 5 5 10 8 9 11 1 7 64 Andrew Wiand '25
Ashwin Kesliker '26
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED 6 4 8 7 7 8 8 7 11 66 William Quick-Severin '26
Colin Fitzgerald '26
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 7 DNF 6 6 10 7 6 12 6 76 Andy Zhu '23
Jamie Stewart '27
Groves High School Groves High School MIXED Green 12 6 11 9 12 6 13 9 9 87 Luc Messner '27
Jace Bishop '23
Troy High School Troy High School Troy 11 DNF 14 8 6 12 7 5 12 91 Maya Nagy '26
Vincent Lisowski '24
Troy High School Troy High School MIXED Red 13 11 10 11 14 13 12 13 3 100 Brennan Breakiron '28
James Xiao '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 9 DNF 9 12 11 15 14 2 14 102 Krish Reddy '26
Yuyang Duan '27
Dewitt High School Dewitt High School Dewitt HS Mixed 14 10 12 13 15 11 10 11 13 109 Owen Krause '25
Logan Miceli '27
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange 10 DNF DNF 14 9 10 15 14 10 114 Isabella Elzon '27
Ethan Jenney '24
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue 15 9 13 15 13 14 9 15 15 118 Aiden Caswell '23
Levi Citron '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Berkley High School (MI)Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Blue555555555
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED151515151515151515
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange222222222
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Blue111111111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Gold777777777
Dewitt High SchoolDewitt High School Dewitt HS Mixed111111111111111111
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing MIXED181818181818181818
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed161616161616161616
Groves High SchoolGroves High School MIXED Green444444444
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School Mona Shores Mixed888888888
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Black131313131313131313
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed999999999
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed101010101010101010
Troy High SchoolTroy High School MIXED Red121212121212121212
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy333333333

Conditions — 05/06/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1024.0 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From E (91°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1024.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →