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Scrappy Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 172
2 Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon 198
3 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 229
4 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon 237
5 Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 263
6 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white 279
7 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 379
8 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Mixed 424
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies A 1 4 4 1 1 5 4 7 3 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 46 Deana Fedulova '24
Matthew Pfeiffer '25
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon A 5 2 5 3 12 1 2 3 2 1 6 3 7 3 1 1 57 Amelia Traver '24
Lily Johnson '23
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon B 3 3 1 12 3 6 6 11 4 3 1 1 1 1 7 8 71 Xinshi (Jerry) Feng '23
Xuqiu (Tina) Wang '23
Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity A 2 1 6 2 5 OCS 1 1 1 9 2 5 3 8 10 5 78 Lj Nykamp '25 [1-16]
Matthew Tevelde '26 [1-10]
Jonas Pearson '25 [11-16]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 A 4 11 3 4 2 11 5 2 7 6 3 6 10 4 11 3 92 Aiala Angueira Salbidegoitia '26
Tara Hecht '25
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies B 8 5 7 11 6 7 10 10 8 4 10 8 9 5 9 9 126 Lake Linebaugh '26
Lucia Duffy '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white A 9 9 10 10 7 3 3 6 10 12 13 10 5 9 4 12 132 Naixin (Angela) Tang '24
Oleksandra Smovska '25
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 B 6 13 2 13 4 4 12 9 5 10 9 14 13 13 3 7 137 Evan Wern '25 [1-6, 15-16]
Preston Levy '24 [7-14]
Emil Body-Goldberg '23 [1-6, 15-16]
Holland Christian High School Holland Christian High School Maroon B 15 8 15 6 11 12 8 8 6 11 5 4 8 12 6 6 141 Sophia Pierce '23
Carson Dobb '24
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 A 10 7 9 8 9 2 9 4 DNF 8 7 13 12 6 12 11 144 Santiago Benes '24
Nora Donahue '24
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles white B 12 12 8 5 14 8 13 13 12 5 14 9 6 7 5 4 147 Emelia Murat '24 [1-2]
Matt Spear '24 [3-16]
Sam Miller '24 [1-2]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles maroon A 11 14 13 9 13 9 7 12 13 13 8 7 4 10 13 10 166 Wyatt Miller '24
Lily Malin '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Mixed A 13 6 12 14 10 13 11 5 9 7 OCS 12 11 11 8 13 172 Kira Mahoney '25
Sophia Castrejon '26
Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity B 7 10 11 7 8 10 14 15 11 14 11 11 14 14 14 14 185 Kiarra Bracelly '25
Evan Carrillo '23
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 B 14 15 14 15 15 14 15 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 235 Olivia Gingue '26
Camila Benes '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Mixed B 16 16 16 16 16 15 16 16 15 16 12 DNF OCS 16 16 16 252 Eva Castrejon '24
James Fuller '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Varsity1122334455667788
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon2233445566778899
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white334455667788991010
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon44556677889910101111
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 15566778899101011111212
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 2667788991010111112121919
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Mixed77889910101111121219192020
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies8899101011111212191920202121

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Varsity991010111112121919202021212222
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles maroon101011111212191920202121222211
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles white1111121219192020212122221122
Holland Christian High SchoolHolland Christian High School Maroon12121919202021212222112233
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 1191920202121222211223344
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian 22020212122221122334455
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Mixed21212222112233445566
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies222211223344556677

Conditions — 05/13/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1019.1 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From E (89°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine7.1 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1019.1 hPa Rain0.31 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · E 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Culver Academies: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Culver Academies by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Culver Academies).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →