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TC tier 3 513

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 28
2 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 37
3 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 61
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed B 2 3 1 1 1 1 9 Lucas Rodenroth '24
Grace Vanstratt '24
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed A 1 1 2 2 5 2 13 Alex Reynolds '24
Max Braund '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed A 3 4 3 3 3 3 19 Isley Moshier '25
Anders Lyons '26
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed B 6 2 4 4 4 4 24 Winston Hegg '26
Andrew Roeder '27
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed A 4 6 6 6 2 5 29 Tyler Winowiecki '23
Nickolaus Goodwin '27
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed B 5 5 5 5 6 6 32 Frannie Harbold '27
Michael Caughran '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed112233
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed223344
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mixed334455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed445566
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed556611
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mixed661122
School / Team SkipperCrew
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Tyler Winowiecki '23 Nickolaus Goodwin '27
TCSF Mixed Frannie Harbold '27 Michael Caughran '25
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Isley Moshier '25 Anders Lyons '26
TCC Mixed Lucas Rodenroth '24 Grace Vanstratt '24
Traverse City West Traverse City West Alex Reynolds '24 Max Braund '24
TCW Mixed Winston Hegg '26 Andrew Roeder '27

Conditions — 05/13/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1023.3 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From NE (35°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1023.3 hPa

What this breeze does at Traverse City Centra — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Traverse City Centra in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Traverse City Centra by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Traverse City Centra, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →