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Thursday Throwdown

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School JV 18 18
2 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 1 19 19
3 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 23 23
4 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 38 38
5 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 2 42 42
6 Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed 48 48
7 Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 50 50
8 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Bears 50 50
9 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 3 57 57
10 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed 65 65
11 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 66 66
12 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity 70 70
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School JV 2 1 3 2 5 2 3 18 Alex Mcbride '27
Graham Newbauer '24
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 1 4 7 2 1 1 3 1 19 Ben Spengeman '27
Sami York '24
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 3 6 1 8 2 1 2 23 Jacob Hartong '26
Connor Coate '25
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack 5 4 10 4 7 4 4 38 Rose Darner '26
Emma Hershey '23
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 2 1 3 7 3 11 6 11 42 Bobby Ream '25
Vincent Ireland '27
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed 9 5 9 9 3 7 6 48 Maddox Birch '28 [1-7]
Ben Rutti '27 [1-2, 5-7]
Arthur Vins '29 [3-4]
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed 7 8 6 5 8 11 5 50 Sage Grieselhuber '24
Sam Griffin '25
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Bears 10 2 8 6 6 9 9 50 Ellie Doepker '25
Nicholas Robertson '23
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 3 8 9 5 11 9 5 10 57 Emily Ream '27
Jonathan Harding '24
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed 6 12 12 7 4 12 12 65 Andrew White '26
Cecilia Maher '27
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity 12 10 4 12 12 8 8 66 Gianna Harvey '27
Dora Winkler '26
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity 11 11 11 10 10 10 7 70 Marianne Mendez '25
Liam Rodriguez '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed 15555555
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed 26666666
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed 37777777
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School JV2222222
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School Mixed13131313131313
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Bears15151515151515
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Varsity10101010101010
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots4444444
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Mixed12121212121212
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Varsity8888888
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Mixed9999999
Worthington KilbourneWorthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack1111111
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 1 Ben Spengeman '27 Sami York '24
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 2 Bobby Ream '25 Vincent Ireland '27
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 3 Emily Ream '27 Jonathan Harding '24
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Bears Ellie Doepker '25 Nicholas Robertson '23
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Varsity Marianne Mendez '25 Liam Rodriguez '24
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School JV Alex Mcbride '27 Graham Newbauer '24
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School Mixed Andrew White '26 Cecilia Maher '27
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots Jacob Hartong '26 Connor Coate '25
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed Maddox Birch '28 [1-7] Ben Rutti '27 [1-2, 5-7]
Arthur Vins '29 [3-4]
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Varsity Gianna Harvey '27 Dora Winkler '26
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Mixed Sage Grieselhuber '24 Sam Griffin '25
Worthington Kilbourne Worthington Kilbourne Wolf Pack Rose Darner '26 Emma Hershey '23

Conditions — 05/04/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 37%  ·  Pressure 1009.0 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.2 kn
Gusts to 24.3 kn
From S (176°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity37% Pressure1009.0 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Gahanna Lincoln: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Gahanna Lincoln by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Gahanna Lincoln: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →