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2024 Norcal 5 Silver

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 20 20
2 Bulls Bulls Bulls 21 21
3 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 24 24
4 San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 1 33 33
5 Yellowjackets 2 Yellowjackets 2 Yellowjackets 2 34 34
6 Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 43 43
7 The Athenian School The Athenian School Owls 44 44
8 Toreadores Toreadores Toreadores 50 50
9 Pacific Grove High School Pacific Grove High School Breakers 50 50
10 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 51 51
11 Breakers 1 Breakers 1 Breakers 1 53 53
12 The Urban School The Urban School Blues 55 55
13 Oakland Technical High School Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech 61 61
14 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1 63 63
15 Carmel High School Carmel High School Padres 64 64
16 San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 2 66 66
17 Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 80 80
18 Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 84 84
19 Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 2 93 93
20 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2 94 94
21 Yellowjackets 1 Yellowjackets 1 Yellowjackets 1 96 96
22 Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 1 99 99
23 Breakers 2 Breakers 2 Breakers 2 120 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 1 7 1 6 5 20 Joby Overton '26
Aubrie Grimes '26
Bulls Bulls Bulls 2 9 2 4 4 21
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 12 2 6 2 2 24 Tibet Kilic '24 [1-5]
Dillan Spence '27 [1-2, 5]
Steven Li '27 [3-4]
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 1 10 8 3 3 9 33 Seamus Crain '26
Xander Helming '26
Yellowjackets 2 Yellowjackets 2 Yellowjackets 2 4 6 8 15 1 34
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 3 5 14 7 14 43 Cyrus Estilaei '27
Ellie Tucker '27
The Athenian School The Athenian School Owls 15 3 10 10 6 44 California Nunes '24
Rita Waugh '27
Toreadores Toreadores Toreadores 5 14 7 12 12 50
Pacific Grove High School Pacific Grove High School Breakers DNF 13 5 1 7 50 Kieran Sherlock '25
James Archer '27
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 13 10 11 9 8 51 Zach Siskind '28
Charles Maxey '25
Breakers 1 Breakers 1 Breakers 1 9 12 9 8 15 53
The Urban School The Urban School Blues 17 1 13 5 19 55 Maxwell Woolf '27 [1]
Gabriel Ramirez '27 [2-5]
Stella Reynaga '24 [1]
Oakland Technical High School Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech 11 17 12 11 10 61 Hera Handy-Madsen '27
Teagan Ezakovich '27
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1 8 4 17 17 17 63 Vaugn Neumann '27
Charles Winstead '24
Carmel High School Carmel High School Padres 6 15 19 13 11 64 Lyric Gomez '28
June Emerson '27
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 2 DNF 11 4 OCS 3 66 Dylan Song '25
Alex Collier-Lake '24
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 7 18 15 16 DNF 80 Liam Hearn '24
Kieran Whittome '27
Piedmont High School Piedmont High School Varsity 14 20 20 14 16 84 Micaela Jorcino '24
Sophie Hess '25
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 2 DNF 22 16 18 13 93 Rj Scheuring '25
Victoria Krauss '27
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2 16 21 18 21 18 94 Ronan Corbit '27
Aidan Andresen '27
Yellowjackets 1 Yellowjackets 1 Yellowjackets 1 19 16 21 19 21 96
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 1 18 19 22 20 20 99 Stella Ward Turko '27
Zoe Bruce '26
Breakers 2 Breakers 2 Breakers 2 DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS 120
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 15454545454
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 24444444444
Yellowjackets 1Yellowjackets 1 Yellowjackets 16060606060
Yellowjackets 2Yellowjackets 2 Yellowjackets 26363636363
Campolindo High SchoolCampolindo High School Cougars4646464646
Carmel High SchoolCarmel High School Padres1111111111
Encinal High SchoolEncinal High School Jets4949494949
Marin CatholicMarin Catholic Wildcats 1139139139139139
Marin CatholicMarin Catholic Wildcats 2140140140140140
ToreadoresToreadores Toreadores1313131313
Oakland Technical High SchoolOakland Technical High School Oakland Tech4848484848
Pacific Grove High SchoolPacific Grove High School Breakers1212121212
Piedmont High SchoolPiedmont High School Varsity4747474747
San Domenico High SchoolSan Domenico High School Panthers 11717171717
San Domenico High SchoolSan Domenico High School Panthers 21616161616
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates9797979797
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 17979797979
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 27878787878
The Athenian SchoolThe Athenian School Owls5353535353
Breakers 1Breakers 1 Breakers 18181818181
Breakers 2Breakers 2 Breakers 28282828282
BullsBulls Bulls7777777777
The Urban SchoolThe Urban School Blues55555

Conditions — 02/10/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1020.4 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From NNW (339°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1020.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Alameda: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.56 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Alameda by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Alameda, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →