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2024 PCISA Norcal 6 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 12 12
2 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 13 13
3 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 28 28
4 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 3 36 36
5 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 3 37 37
6 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 38 38
7 Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 39 39
8 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 44 44
9 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 45 45
10 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 55 55
11 Breakers Breakers Breakers 62 62
12 Bulls Bulls Bulls 70 70
13 St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 72 72
14 Yellowjackets Yellowjackets Yellowjackets 79 79
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 12 Max Mccormick '24
Patrick O'Hara '27
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 1 1 1 1 5 4 13 Rhett Krawitt '26
Whitney Feagin '27
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 3 3 4 5 4 9 28 Reid Sojka '26
Joby Overton '26
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 3 5 4 8 11 7 1 36 Owen Cuyler '24
Sabine Lee '25
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 3 6 8 6 6 3 8 37 Tibet Kilic '24 [1-6]
Dillan Spence '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Steven Li '27 [3-4]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 4 11 3 9 8 3 38 Henry Vare '26 [1, 3-5]
Xander Mann '26 [2, 6]
Xander Mann '26 [1, 3-5]
Henry Vare '26 [2, 6]
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 10 7 5 4 2 11 39 Emi Puertas '27
Ava Estilaei '27
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 7 6 7 7 11 6 44 Abbie Zhang '24
Sadie Marinerstein '24
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 12 5 10 2 9 7 45 Chase Carson '25
Charles Maxey '25
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 11 9 11 13 6 5 55 Evie Littler '25
Charles Winstead '24
Breakers Breakers Breakers 9 13 12 8 10 10 62
Bulls Bulls Bulls 14 10 9 12 12 13 70
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 8 12 14 10 14 14 72 Amanda Wheeler '25
Reuben Butt '27
Yellowjackets Yellowjackets Yellowjackets 13 14 13 14 13 12 79
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 1585858585858
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 2525252525252
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 3505050505050
YellowjacketsYellowjackets Yellowjackets636363636363
Encinal High SchoolEncinal High School Jets575757575757
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 1121121121121121121
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 2122122122122122122
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CASt. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame515151515151
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 1198198198198198198
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 2197197197197197197
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 3979797979797
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks797979797979
BreakersBreakers Breakers818181818181
BullsBulls Bulls777777777777

Conditions — 02/11/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From WSW (239°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine8.5 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1023.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Alameda: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Alameda by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Alameda, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →