Bunny Hop

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 15 15
2 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 21 21
3 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 24 24
4 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 31 31
5 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Black 32 32
6 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Maroon 46 46
7 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 55 55
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 2 1 1 1 4 2 2 2 15 Liam Gilin '25
Aarush Kapur '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 1 2 2 6 1 1 3 5 21 Jack Armstrong '25
Ryan Ellison '28
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 3 3 5 3 3 5 1 1 24 Brent Armstrong '25
Dutch Goodman '29
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 6 4 3 2 5 4 4 3 31 Claire Fagan '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Isabella Elzon '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Isabella Elzon '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Claire Fagan '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Black 5 5 4 4 2 3 5 4 32 Erin Degrazia '27
Angelina Abdulnour '27
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Maroon 4 6 6 5 6 6 7 6 46 Sean Ellison '25
Sydney Rosenberg '26
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 55 Quinn Rolands '24
Andew Riordan '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Maroon28282828282828
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Black24242424242424
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue27272727272727
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED26262626262626
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Gold29292929292929
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green30303030303030
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED White25252525252525
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Maroon Sean Ellison '25 Sydney Rosenberg '26
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Black Erin Degrazia '27 Angelina Abdulnour '27
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue Quinn Rolands '24 Andew Riordan '24
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED Claire Fagan '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Isabella Elzon '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Isabella Elzon '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Claire Fagan '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold Liam Gilin '25 Aarush Kapur '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green Jack Armstrong '25 Ryan Ellison '28
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White Brent Armstrong '25 Dutch Goodman '29

Conditions — 03/30/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1009.9 hPa

Temperature

39°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From ENE (65°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine1.6 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1009.9 hPa Rain0.12 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.56 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Detroit Country Day, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →