Foundry May 18

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 20 7 27
2 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 10 31 41
3 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 25 22 47
4 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 33 21 54
5 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 21 33 54
6 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 27 29 56
7 Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Mixed 41 34 75
8 Bexley High School Bexley High School Mixed 39 39 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 1 2 2 2 1 2 10 Nick Crull '26
Braden Basile '27
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 4 3 3 1 4 5 20 Buck Rathbun '24
Charles Juratic '28
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 6 5 1 4 2 3 21 Jack Riley '26
Ana Kozak '27
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 3 7 5 6 3 1 25 Peter Horst '26
Elsa Leal '26
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 5 4 6 3 5 4 27 Emerson Becker '24 [1-6]
Flynn Becker '28 [1-2, 6]
Macy Savage '27 [3-5]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2 1 7 8 8 7 33 Adam Starck '25 [1-2]
Noah Botros '26 [3-6]
Carmine Lanese '25 [1-2]
Bexley High School Bexley High School Mixed 7 8 4 5 7 8 39 Evelyn Hannah '24 [1-6]
Sarah Clowes '25 [1-2, 6]
Johannes Diekmann '29 [3-5]
Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Mixed 8 6 8 7 6 6 41 Owen Moes '29
Elliot Treece '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 1 1 2 1 1 1 7 Jacob Myers '24
Rider Myers '26
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 2 3 5 4 2 5 21 Brady Mayer '25
William Bermel '26
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed) 3 5 1 6 3 4 22 Evan Mcnanney '26
Henry Berschback '28
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 5 2 4 5 5 8 29 Gavin Grundei '25
Foster Old '25
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 6 7 7 2 7 2 31 Isabel Jeckering '28
Monika Filippi '26
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 4 8 8 3 4 6 33 Bobby Cooper '27
Ryan Ridgeway '27
Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Mixed 8 4 3 8 8 3 34 Jacob Wackers '26
Everett Treece '29
Bexley High School Bexley High School Mixed 7 6 6 7 6 7 39 Henry Elmore '25
Braden Manning '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Mixed113355
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Mixed224466
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils335577
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)446688
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed668822
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates557711
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats771133
Vermilion High SchoolVermilion High School Mixed882244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Mixed224466
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Mixed335577
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils446688
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)557711
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed771133
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates668822
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats882244
Vermilion High SchoolVermilion High School Mixed113355

Conditions — 05/18/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1012.8 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From N (350°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1012.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rocky River/St. Ignatius (OH): a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rocky River/St. Ignatius (OH) by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Rocky River/St. Ignatius (OH): the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →