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Leatherlips Spring Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 15 16 31
2 Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 20 14 34
3 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 24 22 46
4 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 14 39 53
5 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Bears 23 34 57
6 Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Mixed 41 25 66
7 Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School Mixed 50 35 85
8 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 42 45 87
9 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 43 46 89
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 1 2 3 4 2 2 14 Vincent Ireland '27
Quinton Ireland '29
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 3 1 2 3 3 3 15 Emerson Becker '24
Flynn Becker '28
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 2 3 1 6 4 4 20 Kellie Keane '24
Molly Keane '26
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Bears 7 4 4 2 1 5 23 Liam Rodriguez '24
Keifer Pomeroy '25
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 5 6 5 1 6 1 24 Braden Basile '27
Nick Crull '26
Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Mixed 9 8 6 7 5 6 41 Owen Moes '29
Elliot Treece '29
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 6 5 9 5 DNF 7 42 Macy Savage '27
Braden Manning '24
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 4 7 8 8 8 8 43 Ben Spengeman '27
Lauren Conway '27
Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School Mixed 8 DNF 7 9 7 9 50 Sami York '24
Brinn Faulkner '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 2 4 1 1 3 3 14 Noah Scholtz '25 [1-6]
James Kelly '24 [1-4]
Isabella Pirinelli '25 [5-6]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 4 3 3 2 2 2 16 Gavin Grundei '25
Foster Old '25
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 1 1 5 4 7 4 22 Charles Juratic '28
Reese Levinson '25
Vermilion High School Vermilion High School Mixed 3 2 2 6 6 6 25 Isabel Jeckering '28
Monika Filippi '26
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Bears 7 7 8 DNF 1 1 34 Kenna Perry '27 [1-4]
Beylan Gode '25 [5-6]
Marianne Mendez '25 [1-4]
Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School Mixed 5 8 6 3 5 8 35 David Cram '25
Caelan Brown '24
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 8 6 4 DNF 4 7 39 Charlie Brunelle '26
Landen Alum '29
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 6 5 7 7 DNF DNF 45 Sarah Clowes '25 [1-2]
Johannes Diekmann '29 [3-6]
Johannes Diekmann '29 [1-2]
Ben Yesakul '27 [3-6]
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 9 9 DNF 5 8 5 46 Alfonso Tortora-Colon '27
Ellie Doepker '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity161618182020
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Mixed171719192121
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Mixed181820202222
Gahanna Lincoln High SchoolGahanna Lincoln High School Mixed191921212424
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles202022222525
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Mixed212124241616
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Bears222225251717
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed242416161818
Vermilion High SchoolVermilion High School Mixed252517171919

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity171719192121
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Mixed181820202222
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Mixed191921212424
Gahanna Lincoln High SchoolGahanna Lincoln High School Mixed202022222525
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles212124241616
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Mixed222225251717
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Bears242416161818
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed252517171919
Vermilion High SchoolVermilion High School Mixed161618182020

Conditions — 05/11/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1006.9 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.7 kn
avg  ·  max 16.9 kn
Gusts to 33.8 kn
From W (272°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover45% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1006.9 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dublin Coffman: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.36 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dublin Coffman by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Dublin Coffman, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →