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MDISA Girls Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 1 1
2 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 2 2
3 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 3
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.240+0.24
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers1
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins2
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints3

Conditions — 04/23/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1018.7 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From S (189°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1018.7 hPa

What this breeze does at Archbishop Spalding/Broadneck — from fleet racing

Breeze: S about 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Archbishop Spalding/Broadneck in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Archbishop Spalding/Broadneck by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Archbishop Spalding/Broadneck, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →