Michigan Mallory Pre-Qualifier

HostGrosse Pointe South
Date04/13/2024
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatE420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	30	25	55
2	Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	42	23	65
3	East Lansing High School	East Lansing HS	30	50	80
4	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	36	56	92
5	Troy High School	Troy	59	36	95
6	Traverse City Central	TCC Varsity Black	63	48	111
7	Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	51	70	121
8	Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	71	67	138
9	Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRM Blue	80	82	162
10	Grosse Pointe North High School	Norsemen	88	89	177

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	3	3	4	1	1	3	9	1	3	2	30	Vinny Paliga '24 [1-10] Jack Armstrong '25 [1-8] Alex Wszolek '25 [9-10]
East Lansing High School	East Lansing HS	4	1	7	2	3	1	5	5	1	1	30	Michael Cyrul '24 Colin Fitzgerald '26
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	2	9	2	4	7	2	1	2	2	5	36	Graham Rebain '25 Charlie Walton '25
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	1	8	6	5	2	4	2	3	4	7	42	Eric Brieden '24 [1-10] Jack Riley '26 [1-2] Ana Kozak '27 [3-10]
Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	5	4	1	9	6	5	4	9	5	3	51	Andrew Wiand '25 Krish Reddy '26
Troy High School	Troy	7	2	3	3	8	8	8	4	7	9	59	Rodrigo Flores '24 Jacob Ritter '24
Traverse City Central	TCC Varsity Black	8	6	10	6	5	7	3	8	6	4	63	Andrew Roeder '26 Isley Moshier '25
Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	9	5	8	7	4	6	7	10	9	6	71	Sean Ellison '25 [1-10] Nate Bacheller '24 [1-2, 5-8] Arda Sarioglu '27 [3-4, 9-10]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRM Blue	6	7	9	10	10	9	6	7	8	8	80	Erin Degrazia '27 Sophia Yancey '27
Grosse Pointe North High School	Norsemen	10	10	5	8	9	10	10	6	10	10	88	George Prokop '24 [1-10] Kate Bania '24 [1-4, 7-10] Lynn Dennis '24 [5-6]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue Devils	2	5	2	2	2	2	3	2	1	2	23	Jack Riley '26 [1-10] Vincent Maffesoli '24 [1-2] Peter Horst '26 [3-10]
West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	1	2	1	1	1	5	1	1	3	9	25	Liam Gilin '25 [1-7] Brent Armstrong '25 [8-9] Dorian Ferguson '26 [10] Brent Armstrong '25 [1-7, 10] Liam Gilin '25 [8] Dorian Ferguson '26 [9]
Troy High School	Troy	3	8	3	4	4	1	2	4	4	3	36	Nicole Torkos '25 [1-10] Henry Mcbrien '26 [1-4] Clara Le Moal '24 [5-10]
Traverse City Central	TCC Varsity Black	8	7	6	3	9	4	5	3	2	1	48	Winston Hegg '26 Simon Hegg '24
East Lansing High School	East Lansing HS	5	1	BKD	7	3	6	4	10	5	4	50	Clayton Debruyn '26 William Quick-Severin '26
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	7	4	4	10	5	3	6	5	7	5	56	Gabe Morreale '24 Quinn Elliott '26
Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	4	6	8	8	6	9	7	7	6	6	67	Luc Messner '27 [1-10] Marko Nedeljkovic '24 [1-8] Nate Bacheller '24 [9-10]
Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	9	3	10	5	7	7	8	6	8	7	70	Aarush Kapur '25 [1-10] Ashwin Kesliker '26 [1-4, 7-10] Miles Kohn '25 [5-6]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRM Blue	6	9	7	6	8	10	9	8	9	10	82	Claire Fagan '26 Quinn Rolands '24
Grosse Pointe North High School	Norsemen	10	10	5	9	10	8	10	9	10	8	89	Nicholas Williams '24 [1-4, 8-9] Gualdoni Sofia '25 [5-7, 10] Jacqueline Goode '26 [1-4, 8-10] Theodora Katakis '24 [5-7]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.150+0.15

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Birmingham Public Schools Varsity	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Detroit Country Day School Varsity	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
East Lansing High School East Lansing HS	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1
Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4
Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6
Troy High School Troy	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B
Birmingham Public Schools Varsity	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Detroit Country Day School Varsity	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1
East Lansing High School East Lansing HS	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2
Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen	5	5	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils	6	6	8	8	10	10	2	2	4	4
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ	7	7	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5
Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black	9	9	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Troy High School Troy	10	10	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Birmingham Public Schools	Sean Ellison '25 [1-10]	Nate Bacheller '24 [1-2, 5-8] Arda Sarioglu '27 [3-4, 9-10]
Varsity	Luc Messner '27 [1-10]	Marko Nedeljkovic '24 [1-8] Nate Bacheller '24 [9-10]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	Erin Degrazia '27	Sophia Yancey '27
BRM Blue	Claire Fagan '26	Quinn Rolands '24
Detroit Country Day School	Andrew Wiand '25	Krish Reddy '26
Varsity	Aarush Kapur '25 [1-10]	Ashwin Kesliker '26 [1-4, 7-10] Miles Kohn '25 [5-6]
East Lansing High School	Michael Cyrul '24	Colin Fitzgerald '26
East Lansing HS	Clayton Debruyn '26	William Quick-Severin '26
Grosse Pointe North High School	George Prokop '24 [1-10]	Kate Bania '24 [1-4, 7-10] Lynn Dennis '24 [5-6]
Norsemen	Nicholas Williams '24 [1-4, 8-9] Gualdoni Sofia '25 [5-7, 10]	Jacqueline Goode '26 [1-4, 8-10] Theodora Katakis '24 [5-7]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Eric Brieden '24 [1-10]	Jack Riley '26 [1-2] Ana Kozak '27 [3-10]
Blue Devils	Jack Riley '26 [1-10]	Vincent Maffesoli '24 [1-2] Peter Horst '26 [3-10]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Graham Rebain '25	Charlie Walton '25
MUDJ	Gabe Morreale '24	Quinn Elliott '26
Traverse City Central	Andrew Roeder '26	Isley Moshier '25
TCC Varsity Black	Winston Hegg '26	Simon Hegg '24
Troy High School	Rodrigo Flores '24	Jacob Ritter '24
Troy	Nicole Torkos '25 [1-10]	Henry Mcbrien '26 [1-4] Clara Le Moal '24 [5-10]
West Bloomfield High School	Vinny Paliga '24 [1-10]	Jack Armstrong '25 [1-8] Alex Wszolek '25 [9-10]
Lakers Varsity	Liam Gilin '25 [1-7] Brent Armstrong '25 [8-9] Dorian Ferguson '26 [10]	Brent Armstrong '25 [1-7, 10] Liam Gilin '25 [8] Dorian Ferguson '26 [9]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Michigan Mallory Pre-Qualifier

Division A

Division B

From the notes