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# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green 16 16
2 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 17 17
3 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Seahawks 22 22
4 Troy High School Troy High School Colts 22 22
5 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon 23 23
6 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Lakers 25 25
7 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 27 27
8 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maples 31 31
9 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 32 32
10 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks 37 37
11 Troy High School Troy High School Troy 37 37
12 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs 38 38
13 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 40 40
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green 6 2 7 1 16 Brent Armstrong '25
Dorian Ferguson '26
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White 1 8 4 4 17 Vinny Paliga '24
Isabella Elzon '27
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Seahawks 2 10 5 5 22 Sean Ellison '25
Nate Bacheller '24
Troy High School Troy High School Colts 5 1 DNS 2 22 Rodrigo Flores '24
Clara Le Moal '24
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon 7 7 2 7 23 Luc Messner '27
Levi Citron '26
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Lakers 4 5 8 8 25 Liam Gilin '25
Brigitte Chan '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 12 3 1 11 27 Jack Armstrong '25
Andrew Wiand '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maples 3 4 12 12 31 Marko Nedeljkovic '24
Nicholas Holmes '24
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 10 9 10 3 32 Charlie Walton '25
Maverick Killips '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks 9 12 6 10 37 Ryan Ellison '28
Teddy Mayotte '25
Troy High School Troy High School Troy DNS 6 3 DNS 37 Nicole Torkos '25
Lucia Sharp '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs 8 13 11 6 38 Gabe Morreale '24
Quinn Elliott '26
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 11 11 9 9 40 Erin Degrazia '27
Claire Fagan '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Maples5555
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon30303030
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks24242424
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Seahawks28282828
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue27272727
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs20202020
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ22222222
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Colts26262626
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy29292929
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green23232323
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Lakers19191919
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED White25252525
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School WB Green21212121
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maples Marko Nedeljkovic '24 Nicholas Holmes '24
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Maroon Luc Messner '27 Levi Citron '26
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks Ryan Ellison '28 Teddy Mayotte '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Seahawks Sean Ellison '25 Nate Bacheller '24
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue Erin Degrazia '27 Claire Fagan '26
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Cubs Gabe Morreale '24 Quinn Elliott '26
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ Charlie Walton '25 Maverick Killips '25
Troy High School Troy High School Colts Rodrigo Flores '24 Clara Le Moal '24
Troy High School Troy High School Troy Nicole Torkos '25 Lucia Sharp '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green Jack Armstrong '25 Andrew Wiand '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Lakers Liam Gilin '25 Brigitte Chan '24
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED White Vinny Paliga '24 Isabella Elzon '27
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB Green Brent Armstrong '25 Dorian Ferguson '26

Conditions — 04/24/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1021.8 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 13.4 kn
Gusts to 26.8 kn
From N (356°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine7.2 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1021.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.83 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Detroit Country Day, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →