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R2D2 2024

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 2 2
2 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 4 4
3 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 4 5 5
4 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 6 6
5 Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 1 21 GDQ 21 GDQ
6 Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 2 23 GDQ 23 GDQ
SchoolTeam R1 TOT Sailors
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 2 2 Hannah Ellis '24
Ingrid Christensen '27
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 4 4 Noah Ellis '26
Kaitlin Metz '27
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 4 5 5 Dominic Schinning '25
No Show
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 6 6 Grant Nienhuis '26
Callie Carlson '24
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 1 1 21 GDQ No Show
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 2 3 23 GDQ No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 148
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 244
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 349
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 43
Unregistered-NWISAUnregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 147
Unregistered-NWISAUnregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 20
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 Hannah Ellis '24 Ingrid Christensen '27
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 Grant Nienhuis '26 Callie Carlson '24
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 Noah Ellis '26 Kaitlin Metz '27
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 4 Dominic Schinning '25 No Show
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 1 No Show
Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA Unregistered-NWISA 2 No Show

Conditions — 05/14/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1022.7 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.4 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From NW (312°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1022.7 hPa

What this breeze does at Oak Harbor — from fleet racing

Breeze: NW about 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Oak Harbor in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oak Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Oak Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →