Spring Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 18 10 28
2 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 13 32 45
3 Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed 29 18 47
4 Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 28 25 53
5 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 28 33 61
6 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 38 38 76
7 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 43 35 78
8 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 34 47 81
9 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 54 41 95
10 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 45 52 97
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 4 1 3 2 1 2 13 Nyle Eggert '24
Ani Hough '24
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 3 2 6 1 5 1 18 Michael Cyrul '24
Austin Kovalchick '28
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 1 8 2 9 4 4 28 Lila Torresen '25
Elsie Torresen '27
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 2 5 4 4 6 7 28 Isley Moshier '24
Alex Reynolds '24
Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed 5 10 1 3 2 8 29 Matthew Tevelde '25 [1-6]
Carson Dobb '24 [1-4]
Jonas Pearson '25 [5-6]
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 6 3 10 5 7 3 34 Payden Pittman '24
Logan Thien '25
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 8 7 5 6 3 9 38 Charlie Vink '27
Lucy Herlein '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 9 6 7 8 8 5 43 Erin Degrazia '27
Andew Riordan '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 10 4 9 7 9 6 45 Daniel Kotsekon '25
Finn Allen '29
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 7 9 8 10 10 10 54 Winston Hegg '27
Nickolaus Goodwin '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 3 2 2 1 1 1 10 Clayton Debruyn '26 [1-6]
Austin Kovalchick '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Henry Severin '29 [3-4]
Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed 1 1 1 3 6 6 18 Cameron Bert '26 [1-6]
Bryson Chrisman '29 [1-4, 6]
Asher Albers Contant '26 [5]
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue 2 4 4 6 2 7 25 Cole Blum '27
Brady Wallace '27
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed DSQ 5 3 4 4 5 32 Rhodes Verplank '29
Parker Bonney '27
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 4 8 6 2 10 3 33 Andrew Roeder '26
Simon Hegg '24
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 6 6 5 7 9 2 35 Ryan Ellison '28 [1-5]
Sydney Rosenberg '26 [6]
Sydney Rosenberg '26 [1-5]
Ryan Ellison '28 [6]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 5 3 9 10 7 4 38 Andrew Twa '24
Jackson Donner '29
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed 9 9 7 5 3 8 41 Frannie Harbold '27
Adelyn Smits '29
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 7 10 8 8 5 9 47 Annalise Vink '29
Alexis Twa '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 8 7 10 9 8 10 52 Toby Smart '25
Deverick Bails '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED11111155
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing HS224466
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed11115577
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue446688
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed66881010
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed557799
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed779911
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed88101022
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mixed99111111
Zeeland High SchoolZeeland High School Mixed10102244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED224466
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing HS11115577
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed446688
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School MS Mixed Blue557799
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed779911
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed66881010
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Mixed88101022
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed99111111
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mixed10102244
Zeeland High SchoolZeeland High School Mixed11111155

Conditions — 05/04/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1014.3 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From SSE (156°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine7.6 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1014.3 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Allendale Public/Grand Haven/Mona Shores/Spring Lake: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Allendale Public/Grand Haven/Mona Shores/Spring Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Allendale Public/Grand Haven/Mona Shores/Spring Lake: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →