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Thursday Throwdown HSC #2

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy JV A 7 7
2 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 12 12
3 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 15 15
4 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Girls 17 17
5 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Mixed 22 22
6 Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Mixed 26 26
7 St. Francis Desales St. Francis Desales Mixed 28 28
8 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 1 30 30
9 Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Girls 31 31
10 Big Walnut HS Big Walnut HS JV 39 39
11 Olentangy High School Olentangy High School JV 44 44
12 Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School Mixed 48 48
13 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 2 51 51
14 Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson JV 53 53
15 Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School JV 62 62
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy JV A 2 1 1 3 7 Quinton Ireland '29
Vincent Ireland '27
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 3 2 2 5 12 David Cram '25
Jonathan Harding '24
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 5 5 3 2 15 Ellie Hutchings '26
Bobby Ream '25
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Girls 1 4 5 7 17 Sarah Clowes '25
Lucia Campbell '27
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Mixed 7 3 11 1 22 Kenna Perry '27
Reed Schworm '25
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson Mixed 9 7 6 4 26 Alexander Gradisar '27
St. Francis Desales St. Francis Desales Mixed 4 6 8 10 28 Charlie Brunelle '26
Gabriel Aebi '24
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 1 6 9 4 11 30 Alfonso Tortora-Colon '27
Garrett Hughes '25
Olentangy Berlin HS Olentangy Berlin HS Girls 8 10 7 6 31 Ellie Doepker '25
Marianne Mendez '25
Big Walnut HS Big Walnut HS JV 10 12 9 8 39 Maddox Birch '27
Landen Alum '29
Olentangy High School Olentangy High School JV 14 8 10 12 44 Caelan Brown '24
Graham Newbauer '24
Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School Mixed 12 11 DNS 9 48 Anastasia Kovalenko '29
Maya Faustino '29
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 2 11 13 13 14 51 Ben Spengeman '27
Lauren Conway '27
Bishop Watterson Bishop Watterson JV 13 15 12 13 53 Cecilia Maher '27
Logan Hughes '26
Gahanna Lincoln High School Gahanna Lincoln High School JV DNS 14 DNS DNS 62 Brinn Faulkner '24
Sami York '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Big Walnut HSBig Walnut HS JV6666
Bishop WattersonBishop Watterson JV7777
Bishop WattersonBishop Watterson Mixed9999
Gahanna Lincoln High SchoolGahanna Lincoln High School JV8888
Gahanna Lincoln High SchoolGahanna Lincoln High School Mixed10101010
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles18181818
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed 12222
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed 216161616
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy JV A14141414
Olentangy High SchoolOlentangy High School JV19191919
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Girls17171717
Olentangy Berlin HSOlentangy Berlin HS Mixed5555
St. Francis DesalesSt. Francis Desales Mixed11111111
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Mixed4444

Conditions — 05/09/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From NW (323°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1013.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Gahanna Lincoln: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.31)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Gahanna Lincoln by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Gahanna Lincoln: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →