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VISA Girls Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 26 26
2 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 27 27
3 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 29 29
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 47 47
5 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 58 58
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 64 64
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 65 65
8 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 66 66
9 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 70 70
10 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 86 86
11 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 92 92
12 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 102 102
13 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 111 111
14 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 3 125 125
15 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 132 132
16 Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 144 144
17 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 146 146
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 2 2 5 2 1 3 1 6 4 26 Leila Pfrang '25
Josie Brindley '26
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 1 3 2 8 6 1 4 1 1 27 Kiana Beachy '24
Sabrina Casagrande '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 10 1 1 3 4 2 2 4 2 29 Adelaide Matzky '25
Simone Moss '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 4 8 10 1 10 4 3 2 5 47 Madeline Janzen '25
Laura Smitt '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 12 6 7 11 2 5 5 7 3 58 Sarah Moore '29
Daphne Ambrosino '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 8 9 3 4 3 7 7 13 10 64 Maddie Murphy '25
Margaret Wyatt '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 5 5 6 6 12 10 8 5 8 65 Chloe Shurr '25
Suzie Nguyen '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 9 4 4 7 13 6 9 8 6 66 Emily Priest '25
Charlotte Mccoy '24
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 6 10 8 9 8 11 6 3 9 70 Eliana Mopper '26
Amanda Wong '25
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 3 7 11 12 5 13 14 9 12 86 Felix Susta '27
Nathan Shaw '27
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 11 13 12 5 15 9 10 10 7 92 Chloe Anderson '24
Megan Allman '24
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 13 11 9 13 11 8 12 12 13 102 Lillian Rippel '25
Madeline Ballard '25
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 7 12 14 14 7 15 15 16 11 111 Justina Reynolds '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Anna Lenox '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Rylie Bowen '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 3 15 14 13 10 14 14 13 17 15 125 Gabby Cloe '24 [1-9]
Lenox Wakefield '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Annika Fox '27 [3-4, 7-9]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 16 DNF DNF DNS 9 12 11 14 16 132 Madison Bivins '25
Mary Patterson '27
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 14 DNS DNF DNS DNF 17 16 11 14 144 Raquel Theriault '26
Rozlyn Theriault '29
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 17 15 DNS 15 16 16 17 15 17 146 Cate Rutter '24 [1-9]
Sadie (Sami) Forrest '28 [1-2]
Meadow Page '26 [3-4]
Ava Patterson '28 [5-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2222222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3333333333
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers444444444
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1555555555
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2666666666
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors777777777
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 1888888888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2999999999
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 3101010101010101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1111111111111111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2121212121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks131313131313131313
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights141414141414141414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders151515151515151515
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Tigers161616161616161616
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons171717171717171717

Conditions — 04/20/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1014.9 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From NE (37°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine6.4 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1014.9 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Poquoson: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.16)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.29 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.16 means a rating gap counts about 14% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Poquoson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Poquoson, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →