2025 Capitol City Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 22 20 42
2 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 20 26 46
3 Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed White 38 10 48
4 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue (Mixed) 36 16 52
5 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 34 30 64
6 Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed Gold 28 39 67
7 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 33 59 92
8 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 57 42 99
9 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 22 78 100
10 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 59 44 103
11 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 49 62 111
12 Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 70 48 118
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 1 4 7 5 2 1 20 Max Eggert '26
Lucas Williams '26
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 3 2 1 1 8 7 22 Charlie Vink '27 [1-6]
Jackson Donner '29 [1-2]
Liam Satterfield '29 [3-6]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 6 1 5 3 5 2 22 Jack Riley '26
Ana Kozak '27
Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed Gold 5 8 6 2 3 4 28 Cameron Bert '26
Henrik Bauman '27
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 10 9 3 4 4 3 33 Clayton Debruyn '26
Jude Lockard '28
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 8 10 2 7 1 6 34 Winston Hegg '27
Finn Allen '29
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue (Mixed) 2 7 8 8 6 5 36 Peter Horst '26 [1-6]
Henry Berschback '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Savannah Wereley '29 [3-4]
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed White 4 3 9 6 7 9 38 Lila Torresen '25
Brady Wallace '27
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 7 11 4 9 10 8 49 Blake Glazer '27 [1-6]
Roney Wonkers '29 [1-4]
Savannah Wereley '29 [5-6]
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 9 6 10 10 11 11 57 Andrew Roeder '26
Brady Viginski '29
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 11 5 12 12 9 10 59 Daniel Kotsekon '26
Owen Seah '29
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 12 12 11 11 12 12 70 Owen Watkins '30
David Caterino '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School MS Mixed White 2 1 1 1 1 4 10 Elsie Torresen '27
Alexis Twa '26
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue (Mixed) 1 5 2 2 5 1 16 Bobby Cooper '27
Jack Horst '29
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 5 2 4 4 3 2 20 Cooper Riley '28
Diesel Baer '28
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 4 8 3 3 2 6 26 Annalise Vink '29
Logan Thien '25
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 6 4 6 5 6 3 30 Toby Smart '25
Deverick Bails '29
Zeeland High School Zeeland High School Mixed Gold 9 7 5 9 4 5 39 Isaac Eklov '27
Bryson Chrisman '29
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Mixed 8 3 10 6 7 8 42 Camille Coffin '27
Adelyn Smits '29
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Mixed 3 6 7 7 10 11 44 Skylar Dykhuis-Peyton '29
Anders Lyons '28
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 7 9 8 8 9 7 48 Colin Fitzgerald '26
Carmen Wansail '29
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 11 10 11 10 8 9 59 Austin Kovalchick '28
Ryker Tessmer '29
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 10 11 9 11 11 10 62 Nola Smart '29
Bee Johns '29
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED7799111111
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed88110110112112
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White110110112112114114
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Mixed111111113113115115
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School MS Mixed White112112114114116116
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed113113115115117117
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed114114116116118118
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue11511511711777
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed11611611811888
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mixed1171177799
Zeeland High SchoolZeeland High School Mixed Gold11811888110110

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED88110110112112
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed99111111113113
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White111111113113115115
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Mixed112112114114116116
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School MS Mixed White113113115115117117
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed114114116116118118
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed11511511711777
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue11611611811888
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Mixed1171177799
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Mixed11811888110110
Zeeland High SchoolZeeland High School Mixed Gold7799111111

Conditions — 04/19/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1015.8 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.1 kn
Gusts to 24.1 kn
From WNW (283°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.2 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1015.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Bath/East Lansing/Haslett/Okemos: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.32 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bath/East Lansing/Haslett/Okemos by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Bath/East Lansing/Haslett/Okemos, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →