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# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 17 17
2 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED 33 33
3 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools White 45 45
4 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 54 54
5 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 65 65
6 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red 69 69
7 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks 82 82
8 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue 83 83
9 Troy High School Troy High School Troy 112 112
10 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Orange 114 114
11 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJies 120 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 17 Ryan Ellison '28
Erin Degrazia '27
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED 5 3 5 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 3 2 33 Quinn Elliott '26
Brianna Briggs '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools White 6 2 OCS 2 1 1 5 3 4 5 1 3 45 Sean Ellison '25
Sydney Rosenberg '26
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 3 6 2 4 4 4 3 5 8 4 6 5 54 Charlie Weikel '26
Corrina Rebain '28
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold 8 5 6 5 5 5 7 4 3 6 4 7 65 Andrew Wiand '25
Maya Nagy '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red 2 4 7 8 6 6 8 7 5 3 5 8 69 Aarush Kapur '25
Ethan Skinder '28
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks 10 7 3 6 7 7 6 6 7 7 OCS 4 82 Alexandra Hernandez '29
Elsa Wellenkotter '29
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue 4 10 4 7 8 8 4 8 6 8 10 6 83 Krish Reddy '26
Ashwin Kesliker '26
Troy High School Troy High School Troy 9 8 10 11 9 9 9 11 9 11 7 9 112 Lucia Sharp '25
Lucy Zang '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Orange 7 9 8 10 11 11 11 9 10 9 9 10 114 Angelina Abdulnour '27
Nadia Valka '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJies 11 11 9 9 10 10 10 10 11 10 8 11 120 Maverick Killips '25
Aniba Raza '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED303030303030303030303030
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Seahawks202020202020202020202020
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools White282828282828282828282828
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Orange292929292929292929292929
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Blue242424242424242424242424
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Gold232323232323232323232323
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Red222222222222
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED222222222222222222222222
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ212121212121212121212121
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJies252525252525252525252525
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Troy191919191919191919191919

Conditions — 04/19/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From W (277°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine2.5 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1014.0 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Berkley (MI)/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkley (MI)/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Berkley (MI)/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →