Navigate

Courageous Sailing Keelboat Kickoff

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 1 9 18 27
2 Gloucester High School Gloucester High School Fishermen 19 16 35
3 Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen Red 29 10 39
4 Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 1 10 30 40
5 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 31 11 42
6 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 36 12 48
7 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 1 26 28 54
8 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL 1 25 31 56
9 Hingham High School Hingham High School Harbormen Black 28 31 59
10 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 27 41 68
11 Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 2 32 56 88
12 Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 2 44 47 91
13 Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 2 51 43 94
14 Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 1 53 58 111
15 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL 2 64 64 128
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 1 1 1 4 3 9
Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 1 2 2 2 4 10
Gloucester High School Gloucester High School Fishermen 5 5 3 6 19
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL 1 4 3 5 13 25
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 1 12 12 1 1 26
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 3 10 6 8 27
Hingham High School Hingham High School Harbormen Black 10 4 9 5 28
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen Red 6 6 7 10 29
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 7 11 11 2 31
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 2 8 7 8 9 32
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 9 8 12 7 36
Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 2 11 9 10 14 44
Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 2 13 13 13 12 51
Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 1 14 14 14 11 53
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS 64
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen Red 1 5 1 3 10
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 5 1 3 2 11
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 2 4 2 4 12
Gloucester High School Gloucester High School Fishermen 4 3 4 5 16
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 1 3 2 7 6 18
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 1 13 8 6 1 28
Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 1 6 9 8 7 30
Hingham High School Hingham High School Harbormen Black 7 6 10 8 31
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL 1 8 7 5 11 31
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 9 11 9 12 41
Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 2 12 10 11 10 43
Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 2 14 12 12 9 47
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 2 11 13 DNS DNS 56
Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 1 10 DNF DNS DNS 58
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS 64
School Team Sailors
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Div A Knights SkipperScarlett Chan MacRae '26
CrewSoomin Kung '26
CrewYancheg Zhao '26 [1-2]
CrewSantiago Cavallo '28 [3-4]
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Div A Wolfpack 1 SkipperCaleb Kohn '25
CrewMary Lee '25
CrewCharis Neave '27
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Div A Wolfpack 2 SkipperKristina Kenneally '26
CrewElio Khon '27
CrewQinghe Zhao '27
Brookline High Brookline High Div A Warriors 1 SkipperBen Hagan '27
CrewAarav Jadhav '26
CrewRobert Seligman '26
Brookline High Brookline High Div A Warriors 2 SkipperAlbert Feldcamp '28
CrewSafiya Chander '27
CrewFedor Chuprov '28
Gloucester High School Gloucester High School Div A Fishermen SkipperAidan Woods '25
CrewAmos Telep '27 [1-2]
CrewHarrison Esker '27
CrewNathan Rogers '27 [3-4]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Div A Habormen Red SkipperCaroline O'hara '25
CrewMadeleine Accettella '26
CrewParker Bradyl '25
Hingham High School Hingham High School Div A Harbormen Black SkipperNora Synnott '27
CrewCarter Driggs '28
CrewJulia Scipione '25
Sharon High School Sharon High School Div A Eagles 1 SkipperArthur Do '25
CrewHenry Comeau '25
CrewRay Luo '25 [1-2]
CrewThomas Zhang '26 [3-4]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Div A Eagles 2 SkipperRaghav Devulpalli '27
CrewArda Tumer '28
CrewAndrey Krioukov '28
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Div A MBL 1 SkipperNantasket Paul Chapman '26 [1-2]
SkipperNantasket Alex Sturdy '25 [3-4]
CrewNantasket Leah Frady '26 [1-2]
CrewNantasket JP Hnath '29 [1-2]
CrewNantasket Will Hnath '25 [3-4]
CrewNantasket Eren Tiryaki '27 [3-4]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Div A MBL 2 SkipperNo show
CrewNo One '24
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Div A Varsity SkipperKaitlin Hynes '25
CrewNina Lowe '25
CrewKathleen Gallico '25
Winchester High School Winchester High School Div A Varsity 1 SkipperWilliam MacNeille '25
CrewNoah Dengler '25
CrewNick Russo '25
Winchester High School Winchester High School Div A Varsity 2 SkipperBoden Dengler '28
CrewCharlie Dorr '27
CrewLuke Ingles '27
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Div B Knights SkipperYancheg Zhao '26
CrewIngrid Schrag '27
CrewNo show
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Div B Wolfpack 1 SkipperAva MacKinnon '26
CrewAnne Kashiwagi '27
CrewMary Pollard '26
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Div B Wolfpack 2 SkipperElias Wilson '25
CrewSebastian Inezian '25
CrewBenjamin Jacobson '25
Brookline High Brookline High Div B Warriors 1 SkipperRyan Beach '26
CrewTony Zoummar '28
CrewEmerson Saunders '27
Brookline High Brookline High Div B Warriors 2 SkipperRoey Hartman '26
CrewLIly Tracey '25
CrewIan Eriksen '25
Gloucester High School Gloucester High School Div B Fishermen SkipperRyan Lewis '25
CrewFin Laporte '29 [1-2]
CrewDavid Berg '27
CrewBeckett Gust '27 [3-4]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Div B Habormen Red SkipperChris Hoppe '25
CrewJessica Scipione '27 [1-2]
CrewSally Egan '27
CrewMaddie Cleary '28 [3-4]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Div B Harbormen Black SkipperCasey Teahan '28
CrewColin Cleary '25
CrewMia Cleary '27
Sharon High School Sharon High School Div B Eagles 1 SkipperNathan Pitha '27
CrewMaia Muzio '27
CrewConrad Georgian '28
Sharon High School Sharon High School Div B Eagles 2 SkipperCooper Lenci '27
CrewGavin McWilliams '26
CrewJD Lenci '28
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Div B MBL 1 SkipperNantasket Grace Naylor '25
CrewNantasket Aydin Tiryaki '25
CrewNantasket Sam Guardino '26
ReserveUnregcrew 1 '26
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Div B MBL 2 SkipperSalem Farren Billings '29
CrewSalem Grace Perry '29
CrewSalem Owen Damato '29
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Div B Varsity SkipperEvan Hinchley '25
CrewChloe Malek '26
CrewPhoebe Foraste '27
Winchester High School Winchester High School Div B Varsity 1 SkipperAshton Marnik '26
CrewMer Procops '26
CrewSean '27
Winchester High School Winchester High School Div B Varsity 2 SkipperAudrey Quilter '27
CrewAlice Liu '28
CrewUri Mitchell '26

Performance rating asks, for each skipper: holding every other boat fixed, which rating makes my actual race-by-race finishes least surprising? Boats are valued with the keelboat rating rather than the fleet rating: 0.41 × the skipper's fleet rating from the week before the event (unrated skippers start at 0.47); 0.28 × the mean fleet rating of the rated crew aboard; the skipper's own keelboat offset; the school's program effect. Non-finishes (OCS, DNF and similar) are left out of the fitting, as in the rating model.

Percentile places a rating among the 78 ISSA sailors with a keelboat rating who raced the discipline in the last three seasons. Surprise is how many bits more surprising the finishes were at the pre-event rating than at the performance rating. P(this good or better) simulates the event 3,000 times at the pre-event ratings, with the same regatta-form model as the fleet analysis pages, and reports how often the skipper would score this many points or fewer in the races they sailed.

The keelboat offsets are the current ones (the discipline files keep no weekly history), so a skipper's own offset has already seen this event; offsets are shrunk hard, so the effect is a few hundredths at most. Only skippers are rated.

  • u no fleet rating — the model's level for unrated skippers is the baseline.

Division A  15 boats · 4 races

FinSkipperSchool Races Rating
before		 Perf.
rating		 Δ Percentile
before → perf.		 Surprise
(bits)		 P(this good
or better)		 Avg finish
actual / exp.
1Caleb Kohn '25Boston Latin School Wolfpack 14/41.052.72+1.6674th → 99th3.83%2.2 / 6.5
2William MacNeille '25Winchester High School Varsity 14/40.982.55+1.5773rd → 99th3.65%2.5 / 6.6
3Aidan Woods '25Gloucester High School4/40.791.48+0.6963rd → 92nd0.922%4.8 / 7.1
4Nantasket Alex Sturdy '25Unregistered-NESSA MBL 12/40.66u-0.16−0.8253rd → 1st0.970%9.0 / 7.5
4Nantasket Paul Chapman '26Unregistered-NESSA MBL 12/40.66u2.01+1.3453rd → 99th1.514%3.5 / 7.5
5Arthur Do '25Sharon High School Eagles 14/40.660.30−0.3651st → 21st0.337%6.5 / 7.6
6Scarlett Chan MacRae '26BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols4/4-0.030.86+0.894th → 68th1.519%6.8 / 9.4
7Nora Synnott '27Hingham High School Harbormen Black4/40.770.73−0.0462nd → 56th0.050%7.0 / 7.2
8Caroline O'hara '25Hingham High School Habormen Red4/40.550.73+0.1841st → 58th0.145%7.2 / 7.8
9Kaitlin Hynes '25Wellesley High School4/40.810.37−0.4365th → 31st0.564%7.8 / 7.1
10Kristina Kenneally '26Boston Latin School Wolfpack 24/40.240.64+0.4019th → 51st0.444%8.0 / 8.6
11Raghav Devulpalli '27Sharon High School Eagles 24/40.350.28−0.0728th → 19th0.060%9.0 / 8.3
12Albert Feldcamp '28Brookline High Warriors 24/40.19u-0.40−0.5814th → 1st0.880%11.0 / 8.7
13Boden Dengler '28Winchester High School Varsity 24/4-0.08-0.77−0.693rd → 1st1.390%12.8 / 9.4
14Ben Hagan '27Brookline High Warriors 14/4-0.58-2.11−1.531st → 1st2.684%13.2 / 10.7

Division B  15 boats · 4 races

FinSkipperSchool Races Rating
before		 Perf.
rating		 Δ Percentile
before → perf.		 Surprise
(bits)		 P(this good
or better)		 Avg finish
actual / exp.
1Chris Hoppe '25Hingham High School Habormen Red4/40.432.28+1.8433rd → 99th4.72%2.5 / 7.6
2Evan Hinchley '25Wellesley High School4/40.642.12+1.4851st → 99th3.35%2.8 / 7.0
3Cooper Lenci '27Sharon High School Eagles 24/40.69u1.98+1.2953rd → 99th2.67%3.0 / 6.9
4Ryan Lewis '25Gloucester High School4/40.901.48+0.5871st → 92nd0.622%4.0 / 6.4
5Ava MacKinnon '26Boston Latin School Wolfpack 14/40.231.22+1.0019th → 88th1.810%4.5 / 8.2
6Nathan Pitha '27Sharon High School Eagles 14/40.380.23−0.1431st → 19th0.042%7.0 / 7.8
7Ashton Marnik '26Winchester High School Varsity 14/40.130.42+0.2912th → 33rd0.237%7.5 / 8.6
8Casey Teahan '28Hingham High School Harbormen Black4/40.230.26+0.0319th → 19th0.048%7.8 / 8.1
8Nantasket Grace Naylor '25Unregistered-NESSA MBL 14/40.66u0.08−0.5853rd → 9th0.963%7.8 / 7.0
10Yancheg Zhao '26BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols4/4-0.31-0.52−0.211st → 1st0.158%10.2 / 9.6
11Audrey Quilter '27Winchester High School Varsity 24/4-0.05-0.40−0.354th → 1st0.374%10.8 / 9.0
12Roey Hartman '26Brookline High Warriors 24/40.19u-1.42−1.6114th → 1st5.488%11.8 / 8.4
13Elias Wilson '25Boston Latin School Wolfpack 24/40.33-1.35−1.6724th → 1st3.099%14.0 / 7.9
14Ryan Beach '26Brookline High Warriors 14/4-0.640.09+0.731st → 9th0.398%14.5 / 10.4
15Salem Farren Billings '29Unregistered-NESSA MBL 24/40.66u——53rd → —0.0>99%16.0 / 7.1

Conditions — 03/29/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1018.7 hPa

Temperature

38°F
↑ 40°F   ↓ 36°F
Feels like 30°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From NE (55°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine1.3 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1018.7 hPa Rain0.04 in

What this breeze does at Courageous Sailing / Boston Latin School — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Courageous Sailing / Boston Latin School in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Courageous Sailing / Boston Latin School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Courageous Sailing / Boston Latin School: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →