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The Derby on Cass Lake

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 19 19
2 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED 34 34
3 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 36 36
4 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Chuck of Gold MIX 48 48
5 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Flying Mohawk MIX 53 53
6 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos JV Mixed 54 54
7 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 68 68
8 Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Owen Almighty MIX 72 72
9 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Journalism MIX 87 87
10 Troy High School Troy High School Admire Daytona MIX 94 94
11 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 97 97
12 Troy High School Troy High School East Avenue 119 119
13 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Tistastic 131 131
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 1 2 4 1 1 1 3 3 1 2 19 Blake Glazer '27
David Caterino '29
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED 2 4 3 8 2 3 2 1 8 1 34 Colin Fitzgerald '26
Clear Locks '29
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 3 1 1 6 4 7 4 5 2 3 36 Diesel Baer '28
Henry Berschback '28
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Chuck of Gold MIX 5 5 6 4 7 6 5 2 3 5 48 Alexandra Hernandez '29
Meera Patel '28
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Flying Mohawk MIX 7 3 5 9 3 8 6 4 4 4 53 Elsa Wellenkotter '29
Shivani Patel '29
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos JV Mixed 8 7 8 2 6 2 1 8 6 6 54 Nor Smike '29
Jude Lockard '28
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 4 8 2 3 10 5 7 9 11 9 68 Austin Kovalchick '28
Been Johnastan '29
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Owen Almighty MIX 9 6 7 5 5 4 9 10 10 7 72 Owen Miller '29
Luca Benedict '29
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Journalism MIX 11 11 11 7 8 10 8 6 5 10 87 Johann Menke '29
Ruben Sobol '25
Troy High School Troy High School Admire Daytona MIX 10 10 10 10 9 9 11 7 7 11 94 Aveline Chokka '29
Rithwik Fredrick '28
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 6 9 9 12 11 11 10 12 9 8 97 Morgan Bunn '28
Savannah Wereley '29
Troy High School Troy High School East Avenue 12 13 12 11 12 12 12 11 12 12 119 Oliver Jones '28
Iris Kerges '28
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Tistastic 13 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 DNS DNS 131 Bella Goolsby '28
Lucy Holt '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Berkley High School (MI)Berkley High School (MI) Owen Almighty MIX19191919191919191919
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Chuck of Gold MIX22222222222222222222
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Flying Mohawk MIX1111111111
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School Journalism MIX13131313131313131313
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED20202020202020202020
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing WSMIXED12121212121212121212
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue15151515151515151515
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold26262626262626262626
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Tistastic30303030303030303030
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos JV Mixed16161616161616161616
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed28282828282828282828
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Admire Daytona MIX24242424242424242424
Troy High SchoolTroy High School East Avenue29292929292929292929

Conditions — 05/03/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From NNE (26°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine1.3 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1015.1 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Berkley (MI)/Troy: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.37 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkley (MI)/Troy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Berkley (MI)/Troy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →