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Leatherlips Spring Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 10 15 25
2 Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 14 25 39
3 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 23 20 43
4 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 25 25 50
5 Mixed Mixed Mixed 30 35 65
6 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 43 27 70
7 Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Mixed 43 27 70
8 New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 35 50 85
9 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 49 48 97
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 1 3 1 1 1 3 10 Vincent Ireland '27
Declan Ireland '30
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 2 2 2 5 2 1 14 Ike Becker '28
Jack Merante '28
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 6 5 4 2 4 2 23 Braden Basile '27
Rider Myers '26
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 3 1 3 6 8 4 25 Macy Savage '27
Hannah Staas '26
Mixed Mixed Mixed 4 4 5 4 5 8 30
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 7 7 8 3 3 7 35 David Cram '25
Ellie Hutchings '26
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 8 9 6 8 6 6 43 Arthur Vins '28
Mallory Lane '28
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Mixed 9 8 7 7 7 5 43 Charlie Brunelle '26
Dylan Bell '28
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 5 6 9 9 DNS DNS 49 Gavin Grundei '25
Foster Old '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Mixed 3 4 1 3 1 3 15 Connor Coate '25
Jacob Hartong '26
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Mixed 4 1 3 7 3 2 20 Charlie Pensom '29
Katherine Gottlieb '28
Upper Arlington Upper Arlington Mixed 1 9 4 5 2 4 25 Javier Fernandez '26
Ben Yesakul '27
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Mixed 7 2 2 2 6 6 25 Johannes Diekmann '29
Jerry Kaltenbach '29
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Mixed 2 6 7 1 4 7 27 Max Rodriguez '29
Cecilia Maher '27
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 5 3 5 4 5 5 27 Sofia Allen '29
Annabelle Allen '29
Mixed Mixed Mixed 8 5 8 6 7 1 35
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Mixed 6 8 6 8 DNS DNS 48 Sarah Clowes '25
Julian Staas '26
New Albany High School New Albany High School Mixed 9 7 9 9 8 8 50 Seth Pingel '29
Rob Lann '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Mixed181820202222
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Mixed191921212323
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed202022222424
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Mixed212123232525
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed222224242626
MixedMixed Mixed232325251818
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Mixed242426261919
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Mixed252518182020
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Mixed262619192121

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Mixed191921212323
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Mixed202022222424
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Mixed212123232525
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Mixed222224242626
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Mixed232325251818
MixedMixed Mixed242426261919
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Mixed252518182020
Upper ArlingtonUpper Arlington Mixed262619192121
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Mixed181820202222

Conditions — 05/10/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1022.1 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.2 kn
avg  ·  max 3.4 kn
Gusts to 9.3 kn
From SW (222°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1022.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dublin Jerome: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.26 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dublin Jerome by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Dublin Jerome: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →