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May14 Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 18 18
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 18 18
3 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 19 19
4 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 11 25 25
5 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 26 26
6 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 33 33
7 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 12 34 34
8 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 37 37
9 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 38 38
10 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 10 43 43
11 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 9 45 45
12 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 8 54 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 5 1 4 5 7 1 18 Ben Glennon '28
Leo Lothian '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 9 1 1 5 2 18 Eliza Corral '25
Hanna Anderson '26
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 8 2 2 3 4 19 Hayden Pyle '28
Leighton Kelley '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 11 4 6 4 8 3 25 Patrick Tomlinson '28
Hudson Poor '25
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 2 5 9 1 9 26 Finn Ladue '27
Nik Shumway '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 7 11 6 2 7 33 Campbell Carr '25
Olivia Wadsworth '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 12 3 8 11 6 6 34 George Spalding '28
Will Brooks '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 7 11 7 10 4 5 37 Elizabeth Spillane '28
Lara Proudlove '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 6 12 3 9 8 38 Maria Castle '25
Kay Wetmore '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 10 5 10 7 10 11 43 Zach Lieberman-Wingerter '26
Yasha Chumak '28
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 9 10 3 8 12 12 45 Colin Macinnis '27
Nick Proudlove '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 8 12 9 12 11 10 54 Grady Gao '27
Tre Lorusso '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 101010101010
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 111111111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 121212121212
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 222222
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 333333
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 444444
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 555555
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 666666
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 777777
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 888888
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves 999999

Conditions — 05/14/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1021.3 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From SE (143°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1021.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.43 ± 0.30)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Tabor Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →