MDISA KENT ISLAND T3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 11 11 22
2 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 6 25 31
3 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 25 8 33
4 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 24 24 48
5 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 37 20 57
6 Gunston Gunston Herons 30 28 58
7 Crofton High School Crofton High School Crofton 18 43 61
8 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 34 27 61
9 Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 42 44 86
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 2 1 1 1 1 6 James Reilly '28
Romeo Cayangyang '27
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 1 3 3 2 2 11 Justin Callahan '29
Gabby Beckett '28
Crofton High School Crofton High School Crofton 4 5 2 3 4 18 Maram Rihane '28
Helen Heller-Padilla '28
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 3 2 7 6 6 24 Samuel Wells '27 [1-3]
Nathan Cayer '28 [4-5]
Grayson Colvin '27 [1-3]
Teagan Leigh '28 [4-5]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 7 4 4 7 3 25 Liam Grigg '28
Carter Steiert '27
Gunston Gunston Herons 5 6 6 4 9 30 Connor Joyce '26 [1-3]
Aj Friedrich '27 [4-5]
Ethan Paniere '27 [1-3]
Stuart Johnston '28 [4-5]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 6 DNS 5 8 5 34 Brandon Hall '28 [1-4]
Ryan Stebbins '28 [5]
Lucille Leigh '28 [1-2]
Caleb Carrasco '28 [3-5]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 9 7 8 5 8 37 Tomas ... '26
Robert David '28
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 8 8 DNS 9 7 42 Carter Zang '28 [1]
Madeline Cook '27 [2-5]
Avelyn Dannes '28 [1]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 2 2 1 2 1 8 Maddie Atwood '26
Corrin Hakala '26
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 1 1 6 1 2 11 Nate Schwaniger '29 [1-5]
Ian Cox '29 [1-4]
Gabby Beckett '28 [5]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 4 5 3 3 5 20 Julia Deaton '29
Harrison Jones '26
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 5 6 2 4 7 24 Benjamin Kennedy '27 [1-2]
Andrew Lavoie '27 [3]
Ben Billets '27 [4-5]
Andrew Lavoie '27 [1-2]
Benjamin Kennedy '27 [3]
Alejandro Piquero '27 [4-5]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 6 4 7 5 3 25 John Wills '25
Anna Grace Gutfleish '27
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 3 3 8 7 6 27 Graham Boison '28 [1-3]
Piper Pipkin '29 [4-5]
Piper Pipkin '29 [1-3]
Lucille Leigh '28 [4-5]
Gunston Gunston Herons 7 7 4 6 4 28 Liam Freihofer '28
Luke Miller '16
Crofton High School Crofton High School Crofton 8 8 9 8 DNS 43 Isabela Kitchen '28
Ryan Cook '26
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 9 DNS 5 DNS DNS 44 Alison Getto '29 [1-2]
Jack Murphy '29 [3-5]
Arabella Laws-Dunn '28 [1-2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights11335
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins22446
Crofton High SchoolCrofton High School Crofton33557
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers55779
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres88113
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks66881
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs77992
GunstonGunston Herons44668
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots99224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights22446
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins33557
Crofton High SchoolCrofton High School Crofton44668
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers66881
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres99224
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks77992
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs88113
GunstonGunston Herons55779
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots11335

Conditions — 05/04/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.9 kn
avg  ·  max 15.1 kn
Gusts to 30.5 kn
From SSE (166°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine2.0 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1010.5 hPa Rain0.31 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kent Island: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.31)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.35
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.36 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.31 means a rating gap counts about 27% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kent Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Kent Island, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →