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MISSA SW - April 12 - Tier 3

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 North Shore Country Day North Shore Country Day Varsity 29 29
2 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 34 34
3 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 1 34 34
4 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 49 49
5 Glenbrook North High School Glenbrook North High School Varsity 1 51 51
6 Glenbrook North High School Glenbrook North High School Varsity 2 55 55
7 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 62 62
8 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 75 75
9 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 3 89 89
10 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 100 100
11 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 101 101
12 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 118 118
13 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 135 135
14 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 144 144
15 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 2 145 145
16 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 155 155
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
North Shore Country Day North Shore Country Day Varsity 4 1 2 2 7 2 4 1 3 3 29 Lion Birnecker '26
Anton Johnston '27
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 1 3 1 9 3 6 2 4 4 1 34 Graham Marshall '25
Ainsley Marshall '28
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 1 3 4 4 1 1 3 1 6 9 2 34 Watson Conant '26
Harrison Cartwright '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 7 8 8 7 4 1 3 5 1 5 49 Anthony Sullivan '29
Katherine Anderson '23
Glenbrook North High School Glenbrook North High School Varsity 1 5 2 6 3 2 5 5 8 5 10 51 Matthew Ward '27
Charlie Hintzman '27
Glenbrook North High School Glenbrook North High School Varsity 2 9 6 3 8 6 7 7 3 2 4 55 Katilyn Zima '28
Audrey Yen '26
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 11 5 7 4 5 4 6 7 7 6 62 Jack Carter '28
Jeffrey Chang '28
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 2 9 11 6 8 8 14 2 8 7 75 Inika Bansal '26
Sasha Preuss '28
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 3 6 7 10 11 9 11 12 9 6 8 89 Jack Shuttleworth '29
Aiden C '27
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 12 10 5 10 10 10 10 14 10 9 100 Anika Voight '28
Gabriel Vegas '27
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 2 8 12 12 5 11 12 9 10 11 11 101 Eliza Cooley '29
Luna Hallihan '28
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 10 11 9 14 12 9 8 11 DNS DNS 118 Joseph Lattanzio '25
Bryce Banach '27
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 1 14 15 13 15 13 13 11 12 12 DNS 135 Camden Brandt '28
No Show
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 1 15 DNS DNS 12 14 14 15 15 13 12 144 Spongebob Squarepants '28
Davis Levy '28
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 2 16 14 14 13 16 15 13 13 14 DNS 145 Jonah Winer '28
Alexander Gers '28
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 13 13 15 16 15 16 16 DNS DNS DNS 155 Alexsandra Stakhurska '28
Alden Shea '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers1111111111
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 12222222222
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits 23333333333
Glenbrook North High SchoolGlenbrook North High School Varsity 14444444444
Glenbrook North High SchoolGlenbrook North High School Varsity 25555555555
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans 16666666666
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans 27777777777
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts8888888888
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 19999999999
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 210101010101010101010
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian11111111111111111111
North Shore Country DayNorth Shore Country Day Varsity12121212121212121212
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 113131313131313131313
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 214141414141414141414
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 315151515151515151515
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies16161616161616161616

Conditions — 04/12/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1021.9 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.4 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From ESE (112°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1021.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Beacon Academy/Evanston Township HS/Glenbrook South/Loyola Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →