2025 NorCal #5 GOLD

HostMarina Bay Yacht Harbor
Date03/22/2025
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Alameda High School	Hornets 3	33	33
2	Redwood	Giants	33	33
3	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	53	53
4	Stevenson School	Pirates	54	54
5	Junipero Serra High School	JSerra	57	57
6	Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	73	73
7	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 2	80	80
8	Burlingame High School	Burlingame	81	81
9	Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA)	Varsity	83	83
10	Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 1	91	91
11	Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders 1	93	93
12	Carmel High School	Padres 1	96	96
13	Carlmont	The Scots	100	100
14	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	101	101
15	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	103	103
16	Palo Alto High	Vikings	105	105
17	St. Francis HS - Mountain View, CA	Varsity	116	116
18	The Urban School	Blues	119	119
19	Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 2	125	125
20	San Domenico High School	Panthers	134	134
21	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 1	150	150
22	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Gryphons	158	158
23	Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders 2	200	200
24	Carmel High School	Padres 2	200	200

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Alameda High School	Hornets 3	2	5	7	5	4	1	5	4	33	Chase Carson '25 Sabine Lee '25
Redwood	Giants	9	1	5	1	1	12	2	2	33	Nathan Posard '26 Zara Pavelka '26
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	7	4	4	13	3	13	4	5	53	Gus Gossett '27 Mila Kane '25
Stevenson School	Pirates	11	11	3	6	7	2	7	7	54	Patrick O'Hara '27 Claire Lee '26
Junipero Serra High School	JSerra	8	3	16	7	8	4	1	10	57	Francisco Dias '28 Luca Mejia-Young '28
Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	3	10	8	4	12	5	17	14	73	Liberty Evans '26 Adrian Maciuca '25
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 2	4	7	6	15	17	8	3	20	80	Melina Ahrens '27 Ella Schwartz '27
Burlingame High School	Burlingame	13	9	14	14	9	6	8	8	81	Finn Hayes '26 Scarlett Bounds '26
Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA)	Varsity	10	13	1	2	16	15	14	12	83	Shea Baggeroer '27 Sebastian Barker '27
Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 1	1	16	2	20	15	10	21	6	91	Garrett Connorton '27 [1-8] Teagan Ezakovich '27 [1-3] William Delaney '28 [4-8]
Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders 1	5	2	10	17	5	16	22	16	93	Nolan Balocki '27 Kaia Burris '27
Carmel High School	Padres 1	14	12	12	DSQ	2	11	9	11	96	June Emerson '28 Lyric Gomez '28
Carlmont	The Scots	DNS	8	15	8	13	3	15	13	100	Carter Newhauser '28 Lily Stutzin '26
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	19	15	20	9	11	14	10	3	101	Reid Sojka '26 Ava Estilaei '27
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	17	17	9	DSQ	6	9	11	9	103	Joby Overton '26 Aubrie Grimes '26
Palo Alto High	Vikings	15	6	13	12	10	21	6	22	105	Maxwell Akash ("Kashi") Tuteja '25 Liselle Yoo '28
St. Francis HS - Mountain View, CA	Varsity	18	14	11	10	14	19	12	18	116	Selah Dorn '25 Sarah Garcia '25
The Urban School	Blues	OCS	20	17	3	22	18	13	1	119	Henry Scalise '26 [1-8] Adabella London '28 [1-4, 7-8] Dakota Burns '28 [5-6]
Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 2	6	19	19	18	18	7	19	19	125	Hera Handy-Madsen '27 Tenzin Pahl '27
San Domenico High School	Panthers	12	18	21	11	19	22	16	15	134	Seamus Crain '26 Xander Helming '26
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 1	16	21	22	19	20	17	18	17	150	Amanda Wheeler '25 [1-8] Reuben Butt '27 [1-3] Tyrus Hall '28 [4-8]
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Gryphons	20	22	18	16	21	20	20	21	158	Sofia Dias '28 Olivia Feng '27
Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders 2	DNS	DNS	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	200	Tommy Horner '28 Charly Petty '29
Carmel High School	Padres 2	DNS	DNS	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	200	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Alameda High School Hornets 1	45	45	45	45	45	45
Alameda High School Hornets 2	44	44	44	44	44	44
Alameda High School Hornets 3	43	43	43	43	43	43
Archbishop Riordan Crusaders 1	10	10	10	10	10	10
Archbishop Riordan Crusaders 2	5	5	5	5	5	5
Burlingame High School Burlingame	22	22	22	22	22	22
Carlmont The Scots	23	23	23	23	23	23
Carmel High School Padres 1	12	12	12	12	12	12
Carmel High School Padres 2	9	9	9	9	9	9
Crystal Springs Uplands School Gryphons	26	26	26	26	26	26
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View	29	29	29	29	29	29
Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech 1	51	51	51	51	51	51
Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech 2	52	52	52	52	52	52
Palo Alto High Vikings	25	25	25	25	25	25
Redwood Giants	136	136	136	136	136	136
St. Francis HS - Mountain View, CA Varsity	27	27	27	27	27	27
San Domenico High School Panthers	16	16	16	16	16	16
Junipero Serra High School JSerra	28	28	28	28	28	28
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 1	53	53	53	53	53	53
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 2	54	54	54	54	54	54
Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA) Varsity	55	55	55	55	55	55
Stevenson School Pirates	197	197	197	197	197	197
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	81	81	81	81	81	81
The Urban School Blues	6	6	6	6	6	6

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Reid Sojka '26	Ava Estilaei '27
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	Joby Overton '26	Aubrie Grimes '26
Alameda High School	Hornets 3	Chase Carson '25	Sabine Lee '25
Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders 1	Nolan Balocki '27	Kaia Burris '27
Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders 2	Tommy Horner '28	Charly Petty '29
Burlingame High School	Burlingame	Finn Hayes '26	Scarlett Bounds '26
Carlmont	The Scots	Carter Newhauser '28	Lily Stutzin '26
Carmel High School	Padres 1	June Emerson '28	Lyric Gomez '28
Carmel High School	Padres 2	No Show	No Show
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Gryphons	Sofia Dias '28	Olivia Feng '27
Junipero Serra High School	JSerra	Francisco Dias '28	Luca Mejia-Young '28
Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	Liberty Evans '26	Adrian Maciuca '25
Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 1	Garrett Connorton '27 [1-8]	Teagan Ezakovich '27 [1-3] William Delaney '28 [4-8]
Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech 2	Hera Handy-Madsen '27	Tenzin Pahl '27
Palo Alto High	Vikings	Maxwell Akash ("Kashi") Tuteja '25	Liselle Yoo '28
Redwood	Giants	Nathan Posard '26	Zara Pavelka '26
Saint Mary's (Berkeley, CA)	Varsity	Shea Baggeroer '27	Sebastian Barker '27
San Domenico High School	Panthers	Seamus Crain '26	Xander Helming '26
St. Francis HS - Mountain View, CA	Varsity	Selah Dorn '25	Sarah Garcia '25
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 1	Amanda Wheeler '25 [1-8]	Reuben Butt '27 [1-3] Tyrus Hall '28 [4-8]
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame 2	Melina Ahrens '27	Ella Schwartz '27
Stevenson School	Pirates	Patrick O'Hara '27	Claire Lee '26
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	Gus Gossett '27	Mila Kane '25
The Urban School	Blues	Henry Scalise '26 [1-8]	Adabella London '28 [1-4, 7-8] Dakota Burns '28 [5-6]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2025 NorCal #5 GOLD

Division A

From the notes